Phillies vs Red Sox MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (6/11)

Today’s Phillies vs. Red Sox MLB predictions and best bets are brought to you by BetOnline. BetOnline is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from MLB odds to the NBA and everything in between.

On Tuesday, the MLB schedule is filled with exciting matchups, including a highly anticipated clash between the Philadelphia Phillies (45-20) and the Boston Red Sox (33-33) at Fenway Park. This thrilling showdown kicks off at 7:10 p.m. ET and signifies the beginning of a three-game inter-league series.

After the Philadelphia Phillies lost 6-5 to the New York Mets on Sunday, putting an end to their four-game winning streak, they will be seeking revenge. On the other hand, the Boston Red Sox managed to avoid a third consecutive loss by defeating the Chicago White Sox 6-4 in extra innings over the weekend, and are now returning home.

Will Philadelphia regain momentum in Boston? Or will Boston cause an upset on their home turf?

As we delve into my predictions and top bets, let’s focus on the betting opportunities presented in tonight’s Phillies vs. Red Sox game, which is no stranger to such possibilities.

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 31-22-0 (58.5%)

MLB Betting Today: Phillies vs Red Sox (6/11)

Phillies vs Red Sox Game Information

• Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (45-20, 18-10 Away) vs. Boston Red Sox (33-33, 14-18 Home)
• Venue & Location: Fenway Park (Boston, MA)
• Date: Tuesday, June 11, 2024
• Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• How to Watch Phillies vs. Red Sox: NESN, TBS

Phillies vs Red Sox MLB Probable Pitchers

• Phillies: Zack Wheeler (13 starts — 7-3, 2.23 ERA)
• Red Sox: Kutter Crawford (13 starts — 2-5, 3.51 ERA)

Red Sox vs Phillies MLB Odds & Spread

Red Sox vs. Phillies MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Tuesday, June 11 at 10:06 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Phillies vs Red Sox Run Line

• Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-105)
• Boston Red Sox +1.5 (-115)

Red Sox vs Phillies Over/Under

• Over 8 Runs (-112)
• Under 8 Runs (-108)

Phillies vs Red Sox Moneyline

• Philadelphia Phillies (-158)
• Boston Red Sox (+145)

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Phillies vs Red Sox MLB Betting Trends

• In the last eight road games against Boston, Philadelphia has a record of 6 wins and 2 losses.
• In the last nine games against the NL East, Boston has a record of 3 wins and 6 losses.
• In four out of Philadelphia’s last five road games, the total fell below the Under.
• In seven out of Boston’s last nine games, the total went over.
• In four out of the last seven Philadelphia-Boston matchups, the total score surpassed the Over.

Phillies vs Red Sox Predictions & MLB Picks Today (6/11)

Following their collapse against the Mets on Sunday, the focus is now on the Phillies to see if they can recover tonight. Fortunately for them, the recent defeat was an uncommon occurrence. The Phillies, who have been dominant in the National League this season, have consistently racked up victories, including a strong record of 7-2 in their last nine games.

Throughout the 2024 season, the Red Sox have faced difficulties in surpassing the .500 mark. Their fans are constantly filled with hope as they manage to link a series of consecutive wins, only to be disheartened by an equal number of consecutive losses that bring them back to square one.

Despite playing at home tonight, the Red Sox do not hold an advantage. Their winning percentage at home, which stands at 43.8%, is the eighth-worst in the Major League. Additionally, they have lost seven out of their last 11 games at Fenway Park, being outscored by an average of 3.6 runs in those defeats.

The Phillies are 6-2 SU on their last eight trips to Fenway Park. Will that trend continue this evening? 

Considering Zack Wheeler’s impressive performance this season, it’s not surprising to see the Phillies as clear favorites while playing away. The current favorite for the 2024 NL Cy Young award according to BetOnline, Wheeler boasts a remarkable record of 7-3 with an outstanding 2.23 ERA and 91 strikeouts in 80 2/3 innings pitched. Moreover, he has successfully limited his last four opponents to two or fewer earned runs, consistently delivering quality performances by pitching at least six innings in each game.

Wheeler has a career record of 1-1 with a 3.55 ERA in two matchups against Boston. However, he has not yet pitched at Fenway Park.

Put simply, Kutter Crawford faces a considerable challenge in surpassing Wheeler’s performance. Despite the Red Sox right-hander showing improvement with a 3.51 ERA compared to his 2023 performance of 4.04, he has been encountering difficulties in sustaining his early-season success. In his last three starts, all resulting in losses for Boston, Crawford has given up 15 earned runs and three home runs in 16 1/3 innings.

Furthermore, Crawford’s last three games at home have resulted in defeats, with him conceding four or more earned runs in each outing.

Red Sox RHP Kutter Crawford’s performances have trended in the wrong direction lately. 

The Phillies are the correct pick to win tonight’s game. The Red Sox just aren’t on the same level as the World Series contenders and their recent play at Fenway Park proves that fact. Philadelphia knows how to get the job done in Boston and that task will be easier to accomplish if Crawford’s struggles continue.

As a result, backing Philly to back the run line is a no-brainer. I just can’t trust the Red Sox with Crawford on the mound. They’re an abysmal 0-6 SU across his last six appearances, losing those games by an average of 4.0 runs. It’s clear that Boston just doesn’t play confidently when he starts.

Given that the Phillies have the ninth-highest success rate against the spread (ATS) as favorites on the road (52.4%), I predict they will win by a considerable margin.

Phillies vs Red Sox MLB Prediction: PHI wins

Best Phillies vs Red Sox Bet: PHI -1.5 (-105)

Get 50% up to $1,000 on your Phillies vs. Red Sox MLB predictions today at BetOnline

Best Phillies vs Red Sox MLB Player Prop (6/11)

BetOnline is loaded with solid Phillies vs. Red Sox player props, including Kutter Crawford allowing over 2.5 earned runs (-130).

Following an impressive start to the 2024 campaign, where Crawford maintained an exceptional ERA of 0.66 in his first five starts, his recent performance has brought him back down to reality. Unfortunately, the 28-year-old pitcher’s ERA took a plunge to a lackluster 5.17 in the subsequent eight starts, with him allowing a minimum of three earned runs in five of those games. Interestingly, his last three games have resulted in the Over bet winning, and his five previous home appearances have resulted in four Over wins and one Under win.

Considering that the Phillies have the most powerful offense in the National League, it is advisable to have moderate expectations for Crawford’s performance tonight.

Best Phillies vs Red Sox MLB Prop Bet: Kutter Crawford o2.5 Earned Runs (-130)

Get 50% up to $1,000 on your Phillies vs. Red Sox MLB picks today at BetOnline

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