Guardians vs Reds Prediction & Best Bets (6/12): Can Lodolo Cool Off Cleveland?

In the past month, the dominant Cleveland Guardians have proven to be a formidable force in MLB, leaving few teams capable of halting their winning streak. Although the Cincinnati Reds failed to do so last night, they will make another attempt tonight, relying on the skills of one of the National League’s finest pitchers. Tune in to ESPN+ at 7:10 pm ET to witness this exciting showdown.

After suffering defeats in the initial three games of a four-game series against the Chicago White Sox last month, the Guardians have impressively rebounded with a record of 19-6, only losing one series since then.

Last night at Great American Ball Park, Cleveland clinched a 5-3 victory in the opener of their two-game series in Cincinnati. Josh Naylor’s two hits and three RBI, along with a strong performance on the mound from Triston McKenzie and the bullpen, played a crucial role in their triumph.

The Guardians secured their third consecutive victory, while the Reds faced their second consecutive defeat. Prior to their loss on Sunday against the Chicago Cubs, which concluded their four-game series, the Reds had achieved an impressive winning streak of seven games.

Will they be able to regain their momentum before they embark on their upcoming NL Central rivalry games against the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates? The home team, with Nick Lodolo as the pitcher, is currently considered a slight favorite, and the game is set to begin in a few hours.

Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Odds

Odds are via BetOnline, a longtime fixture in the sports betting industry. Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then grab yourself a nice sign-up bonus to bet on Major League Baseball.

Moneyline

• Cleveland Guardians +101
• Cincinnati Reds -111

Over/Under

• Over 8 (-115)
• Under 8 (-105)

Run Line

• Cleveland Guardians +1.5 (-205)
• Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+175)

Looking for more baseball picks? Our MLB picks page features moneyline, total (over/under), and run line (spread) picks for every MLB game on the schedule each day.

Pitching Matchup for Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds

• Tanner Bibee, the right-handed pitcher for the Cleveland Guardians, has made 13 starts and boasts an impressive record of 4 wins and 1 loss. With a 3.73 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP, Bibee has been a valuable asset to the team.
• LHP Nick Lodolo of the Cincinnati Reds has made 9 starts, boasting a 6-2 record, with an impressive 2.92 ERA and a stellar 0.99 WHIP.

Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Analysis

Despite Cincinnati being the favored team in this matchup, the majority of expert picks from Guardians-Reds heavily lean towards Cleveland.

Notable trends are also on Cleveland’s side. The Reds are only 12-10 (.546, 18^th in MLB) as a home favorite, and they are only 16-18 (.471, 23^rd in MLB) in games following a loss. The Guardians, meanwhile, are 11-6 (.647, 4^th in MLB) as a road underdog and 27-15 (.643, 3^rd in MLB) in games following a win.

With that being said, I am choosing the Reds for tonight.

Bibee’s performance on the road surpasses his performance at home. In six starts away, he boasts a record of 2 wins and 0 losses, along with a remarkable 2.20 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and .221 OBA. On the other hand, in seven home starts, he holds a record of 2 wins and 1 loss, accompanied by a higher 5.06 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, and .253 OBA. Additionally, in his most recent five starts, Bibee has been exceptional, securing 2 wins, a stellar 2.12 ERA, and an impressive 0.94 WHIP.

However, ever since his comeback from the 15-day injured list last month, Lodolo has been on fire. In his last three starts, he has achieved an impressive record of 3 wins and 0 losses, accompanied by a remarkable ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 1.10. In his most recent outing against the Cubs last Friday, Lodolo only allowed one run, four hits, and two walks while striking out seven batters in six innings, ultimately leading his team to victory.

The Guardians have higher batting average splits when playing away (.244), during night games (.245), and against left-handed pitchers (.249) compared to their performance at home (.234), during day games (.231), and against right-handed pitchers (.236). On the other hand, the Reds struggle more when playing at home (.213) compared to away games (.241), and against right-handed pitchers (.236) compared to left-handed pitchers (.222).

However, despite any reservations, I maintain my liking for Lodolo and the Reds in this particular situation. He is currently in excellent form, and I am certain that his success will persist tonight.

Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Best Bets

Guardians vs Reds Prediction: Reds to win

Guardians vs Reds Best Bets

Reds ML (-111 at BetOnline)

More MLB Betting Information

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