Mets vs Yankees MLB Subway Series Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (7/24)

Today’s Mets vs. Yankees MLB predictions and best bets are brought to you by BetOnline. BetOnline is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from MLB Subway Series odds to the NBA and everything in between.


Wednesday features the conclusion to the 2024 MLB Subway Series when the New York Mets (52-48) and New York Yankees (60-43) clash at Yankee Stadium at 7 p.m. ET.

Are we going to witness a complete series victory tonight? Let’s analyze and share my predictions for the Mets vs. Yankees Subway Series, as well as some of the top MLB bets for today.

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 57-69-1 (45.3%)

MLB Betting Today: Mets vs Yankees (7/24)

Mets vs Yankees Subway Series Information

  • Matchup: New York Mets (52-48, 26-22 Away) vs. New York Yankees (60-43, 27-22 Home)
  • Venue & Location: Yankee Stadium (Bronx, NY)
  • Date: Wednesday, July 24, 2024
  • Game Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch Mets vs. Yankees: MLB.TV, Fubo, ESPN

Mets vs Yankees MLB Probable Pitchers

  • Mets: Sean Manaea (19 starts — 6-4, 3.73 ERA)
  • Yankees: Gerrit Cole (6 starts — 3-1, 4.60 ERA)

Yankees vs Mets MLB Odds & Spread

Yankees vs. Mets MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Wednesday, July 24 at 10:19 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Mets vs Yankees Run Line

  • New York Mets +1.5 (-150)
  • New York Yankees -1.5 (+130)

Yankees vs Mets Over/Under

  • Over 8.5 Runs (-112)
  • Under 8.5 Runs (-108)

Mets vs Yankees Moneyline

  • New York Mets (+147)
  • New York Yankees (-160)

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Mets vs Yankees MLB Betting Trends

  • In their most recent 10 games against the AL East, the Mets have a straight up record of 3 wins and 7 losses.
  • In their most recent 16 home games, the Yankees have a record of 4 wins and 12 losses.
  • In five out of the last eight games played by the Mets, the total score surpassed the Over.
  • In four out of the Yankees’ last six games, the total exceeded the Over.
  • In four out of the last seven Mets-Yankees matchups, the total went over.

Mets vs Yankees Predictions & MLB Picks Today (7/24)

Despite the odds being stacked against them, the Mets defied expectations in the second half of the Subway Series, securing a 3-2 victory over the Yankees yesterday. The game remained evenly matched until a pivotal moment in the sixth inning when Jeff McNeil smashed a two-run home run, propelling the Mets into a lead they held onto until the end.

The Mets have a chance to completely win their season series against the Yankees, as they have scored 24 runs compared to the Yankees’ 11 runs in the first three games. Notably, the Yankees have only managed to score two runs in each of their last two encounters.

The Yankees have been facing challenges at home recently, as they have lost 12 out of their last 16 games at Yankee Stadium. What is particularly worrisome is that Aaron Boone’s team has experienced consecutive losses in seven instances during this period.

In their last eight away games, the Mets have achieved a record of 5 wins and 3 losses. Notably, they have emerged victorious in three out of their four most recent matches.

The Mets have done a terrific job on the road lately. Will that trend continue this evening? 

RHP Sean Manaea is entrusted with the opportunity to complete a potential sweep for the Mets. This season, the former 2013 first-round pick has demonstrated a stronger ERA on the road (3.10) compared to his performance at home (4.33). Furthermore, in his previous seven starts, he boasts an impressive record of 3 wins and 1 loss, accompanied by a stellar 2.88 ERA. During this period, Manaea has effectively limited opponents to a slash line of .194/.282/.306.

Not to mention, Manaea had already outperformed the Yankees earlier this season, recording three strikeouts in a remarkable five scoreless innings during a dominant 12-2 triumph on June 26.

Regarding the Yankees, they have high expectations for Gerrit Cole to maintain his recent impressive performance. Despite a sluggish beginning to the season, the former AL Cy Young recipient has now shifted gears, recording a 2.95 ERA and 29 strikeouts in his last four starts, covering 21 1/3 innings.

On the flip side, in his most recent encounters with the Mets, Cole has not fared well, accumulating a record of 0 wins and 1 loss with a hefty 7.43 earned run average. In a specific game on June 25, he endured a brutal onslaught from the Mets, surrendering six earned runs and four home runs in a mere four innings.

Will Yankees RHP Gerrit Cole get revenge for last month’s loss to the Mets?

After losing the first three games of the Subway Series, I’m taking the Yankees to salvage things with a win. Eventually, the Bronx Bombers will break out of their slump and I see that happening today if Cole has a strong showing on the mound. The Mets won’t go down easily, but the Yankees have what it takes to win.

Having said that, we’re taking the Under on the 8.5-run total. The Mets have been involved in some low-scoring affairs lately with their last four games averaging a combined 5.5 runs. Meanwhile, the Yankees 12 previous outings featured a 7.3-run average. Furthermore, the last six Mets-Yankees tilts in the Bronx averaged just 6.5 runs.

If Manaea and Cole continue to perform as they have been, the offense might struggle tonight.

Mets vs. Yankees MLB Prediction: NYY wins

Best Mets vs. Yankees Bet: u8.5 Total Runs (-108)

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Best Mets vs Yankees MLB Player Prop (7/24)

With the way he’s been playing lately, I can’t help but back Gerrit Cole o6.5 strikeouts (-114) as tonight’s best Mets vs. Yankees player prop.

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Cole has made a strong comeback after a challenging start to the year, resembling his former self. In his most recent three starts, he has accumulated an impressive total of 23 strikeouts in 16 1/3 innings. Notably, he has consistently finished these outings with a minimum of seven strikeouts, including his latest game against the Tampa Bay Rays where he struck out eight batters. Additionally, it is worth mentioning that in his last nine home games since the 2023 MLB season, the Over bet has been successful in seven out of nine instances.

This prop becomes even more lovable due to the fact that the Mets have managed an average of 10.1 strikeouts in their last seven games, with four of those games witnessing at least 11 strikeouts. In simpler terms, Cole has no valid reason to not succeed in this prop once more.

Best Mets vs. Yankees MLB Prop Bet: Gerrit Cole o6.5 Total Strikeouts (-114)

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