UFC 304: Leon Edwards vs Belal Muhammad 2 Fight Prediction, Odds & Best Bets

This Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 prediction for UFC 304 is brought to you by BetOnline. BetOnline is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from UFC odds to wrestling and everything in between.

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Some of the world’s biggest MMA stars are set to invade Manchester, England on Saturday night for UFC 304. It’s going to be an explosive can’t-miss event that will be highlighted by Leon Edwards putting his UFC Welterweight title on the line against Belal Muhammad.

This highly anticipated event has been building up for three years, and everything suggests that it will live up to the immense excitement. Muhammad is currently on top of his game as the UFC’s second-ranked welterweight, while Edwards has been consistently defending his title after winning it.

Curious about the outcome abroad? Explore my UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 main event predictions and top bets to discover who will come out on top.

UFC 304: Edwards vs Muhammad 2 Betting Odds

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Wednesday, July 24 at 11:38 a.m. ET.

Edwards vs Muhammad 2 Moneyline

• Leon Edwards (-255)
• Belal Muhammad (+215)

Will Edwards vs Muhammad 2 Go the Distance?

• Yes (-200)
• No (+160)

Edwards vs Muhammad 2 Round Total

• Over 4.5 Rounds (-215)
• Under 4.5 Rounds (+175)

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Edwards vs Muhammad 2 Tale of the Tape

Leon Edwards (c) — Belal Muhammad

• Record: 22-3, 1 NC — 23-3, 1 NC
• Height: 6’2” — 5’11”
• Reach: 74” — 72”
• Weight: 170 lbs — 170 lbs
• Age: 32 — 36
• Fighting Stance: Southpaw — Orthodox
• Knockouts: 7 — 5

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UFC 304: Edwards vs Muhammad 2 Fight Preview

In Saturday’s rematch, oddsmakers heavily favor the champion to retain his gold at UFC 304. BetOnline is currently listing Leon Edwards as the -255 favorite over Belal Muhammad this weekend, carrying an implied win probability of 71.8%.

As mentioned earlier, this isn’t the first meeting between these welterweights. The duo previously headlined UFC Vegas 21, however, things, unfortunately, ended in a no-contest when Edwards accidentally poked Muhammad in the eye during the second round, forcing the official to end the fight prematurely.

After that confrontation, both fighters have been unstoppable. Edwards enters UFC 304 with an impressive four-fight winning streak, which notably features consecutive triumphant defenses against Kamaru Usman (through majority decision) and Colby Covington (through unanimous decision).

At the same time, Muhammad has been building up momentum with an impeccable 5-0 record in his past five fights. Among those victories, four were achieved through unanimous decisions, with his most recent win coming against Gilbert Burns at UFC 288. However, it’s worth noting that this triumph occurred 14 months ago, raising the question of whether the challenger will be affected by any cage rust in the upcoming weekend.

When it comes to statistics, Edwards has the advantage in terms of size, as he stands three inches taller and has a two-inch reach advantage over Muhammad. Moreover, Edwards is over three years younger than Muhammad, who recently celebrated his 36th birthday. Additionally, the champion outperforms the challenger in striking accuracy, boasting a 53% compared to Muhammad’s 43%. Furthermore, Edwards absorbs fewer significant strikes per minute, with a rate of 2.34 compared to Muhammad’s 3.64.

When it comes to grappling, both welterweights have comparable statistics. Nevertheless, Muhammad’s takedown defense stands out significantly with a success rate of 93%, whereas Edwards falls behind with a 70% defense rate.

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UFC 304: Edwards vs Muhammad 2 Prop Bet Odds & Betting Trends

When we take a look at BetOnline’s prop markets for the Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 fight at UFC 304, it gives us an insight into how the main event might play out.

To begin with, BetOnlne anticipates a prolonged match by favoring both the Over on the 4.5-round total and for the fight to reach its full duration (-200). This prediction is not surprising, considering that out of Edwards’ last 15 fights, 11 of them went the distance, and likewise, 12 of Muhammad’s previous 15 fights also reached the full duration.

Additionally, it is worth noting that both fighters have a reputation for not frequently finishing their opponents, as evidenced by a mere 16 finishes in a total of 53 fights between them.

Will Leon Edwards and Belal Muhammad go the distance in the UFC 304 main event? 

Despite that, Edwards is predicted to win the fight by points (+110). He has a record of 12-2 in his 14 previous fights that went to the distance and has won all nine of his last nine fights that involved some form of decision. Furthermore, two out of Muhammad’s three career losses were from unanimous decisions.

In the event of an upset, Muhammad’s best strategy is to secure victory by earning points (+310). This approach is logical as the reigning champion has never been defeated by being knocked out or submitted.

It is highly probable that Edwards will secure a victory by KO/TKO (+300) if the match reaches its conclusion. This is a feat he has achieved on seven occasions in his career. However, it is important to note that out of his last eight opponents, he has only managed to knock out one. Now, he is up against Muhammad, who has not been knocked out in almost eight years.

If you’re seeking a more specific outcome, the odds are in favor of Edwards winning by KO/TKO in Round 1 (+900). It’s worth noting that he has achieved this feat only three times throughout his career, and only once since he joined the UFC a decade ago.

UFC 304: Edwards vs Muhammad 2 Predictions & Best Bet

I predict a successful championship defense at UFC 304. Let’s not forget that Edwards was on his way to dominating Muhammad in their first meeting, leading 19-8 in significant strikes with 48% accuracy to the latter’s 30%. We also haven’t seen the challenger fight in over a year and it wouldn’t be shocking if the layoff makes the champion too tough to handle.

With that in mind, let’s back Edwards to win by unanimous decision. Again, Edwards goes the distance more often than not to get the job done and he was on his pace to do ing so against Muhammad back in 2021. With the size and striking advantage, along with the fact that nine of his 12 career decision victories were unanimous, I see that trend continuing for Edwards this weekend.

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 Prediction: Leon Edwards wins

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 Bet: Leon Edwards via points (+110)

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UFC 304: Edwards vs Muhammad 2 Information & FAQ

When is UFC 304?

• The date set for UFC 304 is Saturday, July 27, 2024.

Where is UFC 304?

• The live broadcast of UFC 304 originates from Co-op Live located in Manchester, England.

What time does UFC 304 start?

• UFC 304 Early Prelims Start Time: 6 p.m. ET
• UFC 304 Preliminary Card Start Time: 8 p.m. ET
• UFC 304 Main Card Start Time: 10 p.m. ET

How to Watch UFC 304

• UFC 304 Early Prelims Channel: ESPN+
• UFC 304 Preliminary Card Channel: ESPN+, ESPN2
• UFC 304 Main Card Channel: ESPN+, PPV

How to Bet on UFC 304

• All of the top online sports betting sites will have UFC odds, but here are some of the sites we recommend most for UFC betting enthusiasts.