Stanley Cup Final 2024: Is Connor McDavid the Best NHL Conn Smythe Trophy Pick?

Today’s Stanley Cup Final and NHL Conn Smythe Trophy update are brought to you by BetOnline. BetOnline is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from Connor McDavid-based bets to other NHL markets and everything in between.

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The 2024 Stanley Cup Final appeared to be finished after three games, but that’s no longer the case. The Edmonton Oilers have fought hard to back-to-back wins, cutting the Florida Panthers’ championship series lead down to 3-2. Of course, many NHL bettors are wondering how this turnaround could affect the Conn Smythe Trophy race.

Connor McDavid’s contribution to the Oilers’ resurgence cannot be understated. The 27-year-old prodigy has been breaking records throughout this postseason, making his presence felt. Should Edmonton secure the Stanley Cup, it is highly likely that McDavid will be in contention for the Conn Smythe trophy.

Is McDavid a strong candidate to be chosen as this year’s postseason MVP? Before analyzing his potential, let’s examine the current Conn Smythe odds.


Last 10 Conn Smythe Award Winners

  • 2023: Jonathan Marchessault, VGK
  • 2022: Cale Makar, COL
  • 2021: Andrei Vasilevskiy, TBL
  • 2020: Victor Hedman, TBL
  • 2019: Ryan O’Reilly, STL
  • 2018: Alexander Ovechkin, WSH
  • 2017: Sidney Crosby, PIT
  • 2016: Sidney Crosby, PIT
  • 2015: Duncan Keith, CHI
  • 2014: Justin Williams, LAK

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NHL Stanley Cup Final 2024: Conn Smyth Odds Update

NHL Conn Smythe odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Wednesday, June 19 at 11:15 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

  • Connor McDavid, EDM (-165)
  • Aleksander Barkov, FLA (+200)
  • Sergei Bobrovsky, FLA (+450)
  • Matthew Tkachuk, FLA (+5000)

As you can see from BetOnline’s latest odds, Connor McDavid heads into Game 6 as the odds-on favorite to receive the 2024 Conn Smythe Trophy. His -165 odds carry an implied win probability of 62.3%.

Despite the Oilers trailing by a game, it comes as no surprise that McDavid is the frontrunner for the playoff MVP. Firstly, as the former first-overall pick, he stands out with a remarkable 42 points, surpassing the next-closest player (Evan Bouchard, 32) by a significant margin of 10 points.

McDavid’s playoff performance is truly remarkable, ranking among the best in NHL history. With only Wayne Gretzky (two times) and Mario Lemieux surpassing his point record in a single playoff run, McDavid’s achievements are truly outstanding. However, if he manages to score six more points in the upcoming two games, he will surpass them all and claim the top spot for himself.

Hell, he’s already broken at least five NHL playoff records thus far, so what’s another to his list?

Will Connor McDavid continue to break more of Wayne Gretzky’s records? 

Despite only focusing on the current round, the player who has won the Hart Memorial Trophy three times has truly been the standout performer in the 2024 Stanley Cup Final. With three goals, he not only leads in scoring but also tops both teams in assists with eight, accumulating a total of 11 points. In comparison, the next player on the leaderboard is Evan Rodrigues from the Panthers, who trails behind with six points.

It is evident why oddsmakers favor McDavid as the top contender for the Conn Smythe, given his significantly higher performance compared to Rodrigues.

So, is he a good pick? Absolutely. You can go back to my Stanley Cup Final preview to see that I recommended McDavid as the early MVP favorite when his odds sat at +250. His odds are growing shorter and shorter by the day, meaning it’s a good idea to jump on them while you can before they lose more value.

McDavid’s undeniable talent makes him the top player worldwide, warranting his inclusion in the Conn Smythe race regardless of the Edmonton Oilers’ outcome. With his consistent impact on every game, as long as he maintains his unwavering determination, it won’t be long before he adds yet another prestigious award to his already impressive collection.

Is Connor McDavid the Best Conn Smythe Trophy Bet? — Yes

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Conn Smythe Trophy FAQ

What is the Conn Smythe Trophy?

  • The award presented to the NHL postseason’s most valuable player is known as the Conn Smythe Trophy.

How many players have won the Conn Smythe Trophy?

  • The Conn Smythe Trophy, introduced in 1965, has been awarded 58 times, with 52 different players receiving the prestigious honor.

Who won the last Conn Smythe Trophy?

  • In the 2023 Stanley Cup Final, Jonathan Marchessault was honored as the final Conn Smythe recipient following the victory of the Vegas Golden Knights.

Who was the last player on a Canadian team to win Conn Smythe?

  • Patrick Roy was the most recent Canadian team player to achieve victory with the Conn Smythe in 1993 as a member of the Montreal Canadiens.

Has the Conn Smythe winner ever been on the losing team?

  • Since its inception 59 years ago, the Conn Smythe winner has been a member of the Stanley Cup Final runner-up on five occasions. However, no player has achieved this feat since Jean-Sebastien Giguere of the Anaheim Ducks did so in 2003.
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Are you hoping to get in on even more NHL betting action today? Be sure to check out our NHL picks page for consensus picks and odds for every 2023-24 postseason game.

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