MLB Must Bet Props: Team Totals & Sides | June 19, 2024

Happy Hump Day and Happy Juneteenth!

To satisfy your baseball cravings, I’ve selected three plays from the multitude of games available. Keep it simple and enjoy these plays that will surely cure your day.

Let’s have a day!

Top MLB Prop Bets for Wednesday’s Slate

Picks in this piece are courtesy of BetOnline. At BetOnline, you can get great odds on all of the top MLB matchups every day.

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Write Up Transparency

Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio

So far, this week has been a successful one for me. Starting from Sunday, I have a record of 7-4 (+5.3U) in my bets across MLB, WNBA, NBA, and NHL.

Team Total: Diamondbacks F5 Team Total Over 2.5 (-130)

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Ketel Marte, the impressive player of the Arizona Diamondbacks, effortlessly circling the bases following a powerful hit.

The Stank:

In our nation’s capital, Nationals Park is currently abuzz with the festivities of Patrick Corbin Day, a significant national holiday. While you may have caught wind of it through your eccentric relative, this celebration holds great importance for many. People from various corners of the country gather here to honor this extraordinary holiday that occurs every five days.

Wishing a joyous ⚾️ Patrick Corbin Day to all those who partake in the festivities!

— ACL-Sports.com®–Sports Investor (@TheRealMrACL) June 19, 2024

As of today, Corbin holds the third-lowest pitcher rating, as reported by Batters-Box.com. Additionally, he faces the formidable Diamondbacks, who possess the third highest average hitter matchup rating classified as elite. A complete offense with an average elite rating is undeniably enticing.

This season, the Nationals’ starting pitcher has maintained his typical performance, recording a 5.84 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP. In eight out of his 14 starts, he has allowed opposing teams to score over 2.5 runs.

The team average of Arizona against Corbin stands at a reliable .281, accompanied by an OPS of .751. Amongst the players, Eugenio Suarez, Randal Grichuk, and Kevin Newman have encountered the 34-year-old left-hander the most. Out of the three, Suarez has achieved the greatest triumph, securing eight hits in 21 plate appearances and an impressive OPS of 1.006.

The Diamondbacks have shown strong performance in the initial five innings, with an average of 3.05 runs per game, ranking them third overall. Even on the road, they maintain a solid average of 2.78 runs. Impressively, in their most recent three games, they have boosted their average to 5.33 runs. It is our hope that Arizona can continue this trend by attacking Corbin early and frequently, resulting in a satisfying mid-afternoon victory for our team.

Team Total: Twins F5 Team Total Over 1.5 (-160) 2 Unit Play

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The Stank:

As with the bet above, we are taking full advantage of pitchers with awful matchups today. Tamps Bay Rays Starter Taj Bradley comes in today with the worst pitcher matchup rating on Batters-Box.com. Minnesota has the highest average hitter matchup rating, having six elite hitters along, most notable being Royce Lewis, who is the highest-rated hitter on today’s slate. The Twins also have zero hitters above league ground ball rate and the highest hard contact rate. 

Today, Royce Lewis reached a significant milestone, participating in his 81st career game. His performance in these games has been nothing short of extraordinary, with his 162-game pace numbers displaying astonishing levels of excellence.

– 46 HR
– 132 RBI
– 102 R
– 12 SB
– .318/.371/.599/.970 pic.twitter.com/vsY9UPDcjz

— Louis Addeo-Weiss (@addeo_louis00) June 16, 2024

In the seven starts Bradley has made this season, he has allowed over 1.5 runs in four games. This is a significant statistic, considering the Twins’ average, which surpasses this number both at home and on the road. At home, their performance is particularly impressive, scoring an average of 2.65 runs per game. 

Bradley has had his ups and downs all season and has not been very consistent, so I will happily ride this play, especially for a team with six elite hitters in both the default and current ratings. Trust the process, and let’s enjoy some runs!

Where to find more advanced analytics

When it comes to finding the top matchup ratings for my daily MLB wagers, Batters-Box.com is my preferred website. While it may not have all the answers, it serves as an excellent starting point for my daily baseball bets. In the previous season, I managed to increase my betting units by 98 with the help of Batters-Box.com. Don’t just take my word for it, you can verify my success on my Action profile @cmarchio.

In addition, I utilize FanGraphs, Statmuse, and ESPN to gather additional statistics that aid me in assessing the value of a player and determining whether they are worth my attention.

Good luck this season you psychos!

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