UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 Full Card Odds, Prelim Picks, Start Time, How to Watch, & More

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After a ton of controversy, UFC 303 is finally arriving this weekend. The Ultimate Fighting Championship’s latest pay-per-view takes over T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday with a card that’s headlined by a light heavyweight championship bout between Alex Pereira and Jiri Prochazka.

Just like with any UFC PPV, this weekend’s festivities are stacked with MMA betting opportunities. Figuring out where to find the latest odds and where to start can be tough, though, which is why Betting News is here to help.

We begin our coverage of UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 with a comprehensive preview of the entire card. This preview includes the latest odds for each fight and my initial predictions for the preliminary card.

UFC 303 Main Card Fights & Odds

All UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Monday, June 24 at 11:24 a.m.

UFC 303 Main event: Alex Pereira (c) vs. Jiri Prochazka 2 — Light Heavyweight

  • Record: Alex Pereira (10-2) vs. Jiri Prochazka (30-4-1)
  • Moneyline: Alex Pereira (-150) | Jiri Prochazka (+130)
  • Round total: 1.5 — Over (-185) | Under (+155)
  • Most likely method of victory: TBD

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UFC 303 Co-Main Event: Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes — Featherweight

  • Record: Brian Ortega (16-3, 1 NC) vs. Diego Lopes (24-6)
  • Moneyline: Brian Ortega (+105) | Diego Lopes (-125)
  • Round total: 1.5 — Over (-215) | Under (+175)
  • Most likely method of victory: TBD

Anthony Smith vs. Roman Dolidze — Light Heavyweight

  • Record: Anthony Smith (38-19) vs. Roman Dolidze (12-3)
  • Moneyline: Anthony Smith (+105) | Roman Dolidze (-125)
  • Round total: 1.5 — Over (-215) | Under (+175)
  • Most likely method of victory: TBD
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Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Macy Chiasson — Women’s Bantamweight

  • Record: Mayra Bueno Silva (10-3-1, 1 NC) vs. Macy Chiasson (9-3)
  • Moneyline: Mayra Bueno Silva (-131) | Macy Chiasson (+111)
  • Round total: 1.5 — Over (-185) | Under (+155)
  • Most likely method of victory: TBD

Ian Machado Garry vs. Michael Page — Welterweight

  • Record: Ian Machado Garry (14-0) vs. Michael Page (22-2)
  • Moneyline: Ian Machado Garry (-133) | Michael Page (+113)
  • Round total: 2.5 — Over (-220) | Under (+180)
  • Most likely method of victory: TBD

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UFC 303 Preliminary & Early Prelim Card Odds & Picks

UFC Saudi Arabia Prelim Fight Record: 4-1

UFC Saudi Arabia Prelim Best Bet Record: 3-2

Joe Pyfer vs. Marc-André Barriault — Middleweight

  • Record: Joe Pyfer (12-3)  vs. Marc-André Barriault (16-7, 1 NC)
  • Moneyline: Joe Pyfer (-285) | Marc-André Barriault (+245)
  • Round total: 2.5 — Over (+100) | Under (-130)

It is a challenging task to defy the oddsmakers’ predictions in this situation, considering Joe Pyfer’s impressive performance leading up to UFC 303. Although he suffered a tough defeat against Jack Hermansson in February, it is important to acknowledge Pyfer’s streak of triumphs against five consecutive opponents prior to that loss. On the other hand, Marc-André Barriault is an experienced fighter, but his track record does not include notable victories, having only finished two opponents out of his last six fights.

Props are unavailable for now, so let’s go with Under 2.5 total rounds. After all, the Under is 12-1 in Pyfer’s last 13 bouts.

Pyfer vs. Barriault Prediction: Joe Pyfer

Pyfer vs. Barriault Best Bet: u2.5 Total Rounds (-130)

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Cub Swanson vs. Andre Fili — Featherweight

  • Record: Cub Swanson (29-13)  vs. Andre Fili (23-11, 1 NC)
  • Moneyline: Cub Swanson (+219) | Andre Fili (-259)
  • Round total: 2.5 — Over (-120) | Under (-110)

Despite the heavily favored odds, there is still a possibility for this fight to unfold in either competitor’s favor. Swanson’s recent record stands at 4-2 in his last six fights; however, he has been absent from the octagon since August 2023 and is currently 40 years old. On the other hand, Andre Fili has experienced a mixture of outcomes in his past seven fights, with a record of 2-4 and a no-contest. His most recent match resulted in a first-round knockout loss to Dan Ige.

I’d avoid betting on this fight altogether, however, back the Under on the 2.5-round total if you want to get in on the action. Not only is the Under 3-2 in Swanson’s last five fights but it’s also 4-2 in Fili’s six previous outings.

Swanson vs. Fili Prediction: Andre Fili

Swanson vs. Fili Best Bet: u2.5 Total Rounds (-110)

Charles Jourdain vs. Jean Silva — Featherweight

  • Record: Charles Jourdain (15-7-1)  vs. Jean Silva (12-2)
  • Moneyline: Charles Jourdain (-119) | Jean Silva (-101)
  • Round total: 2.5 — Over (-150) | Under (+120)

There is a possibility for this featherweight fight to steal the show. Charles Jourdain, an experienced fighter, is determined to bounce back from a split-decision defeat against Sean Woodson. On the other hand, Jean Silva aims to secure his 10th consecutive victory following a TKO win over Westin Wilson in his first UFC appearance.

I’m taking the underdog to win this bout. While Jourdain has more experience and is slightly bigger, Silva is the better grappler of the two and hasn’t lost a fight in over six years. Sparks should fly as the 27-year-old continues his hot streak.

Jourdain vs. Silva Prediction: Jean Silva

Jourdain vs. Silva Best Bet: Silva ML (-101)

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Payton Talbott vs. Yanis Ghemmouri — Bantamweight

  • Record: Payton Talbott (8-0)  vs. Yanis Ghemmouri (12-2)
  • Moneyline: Payton Talbott (-1800) | Yanis Ghemmouri (+1100)
  • Round total: 1.5 — Over (-135) | Under (+105)

With a win probability of 94.8%, Payton Talbott emerges as the top contender on the UFC 303 card, boasting -1800 moneyline odds. Having triumphed over seven out of eight opponents, Talbott’s UFC record stands at an impressive 2-0 after securing a TKO victory against Cameron Saaiman in March.

After Yanis Ghemmouri was TKO’d by William Gomis in his debut, it’s clear that we shouldn’t expect an upset. Three of Talbott’s last four fights reached Round 3, though, making the Over the best bet here.

Talbott vs. Ghemmouri Prediction: Payton Talbott

Talbott vs. Ghemmouri Best Bet: o1.5 Total Rounds (-135)

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Michelle Waterson-Gomez vs. Gillian Robertson — Women’s Strawweight

  • Record: Michelle Waterson-Gomez (18-12)  vs. Gillian Robertson (13-8)
  • Moneyline: Michelle Waterson-Gomez (+147) | Gillian Robertson (-172)
  • Round total: 2.5 — Over (-165) | Under (+135)

Although upsets are a common occurrence in sports, I highly doubt we will see one in the upcoming UFC 303 fight. Michelle Waterson-Gomez has rightfully earned the underdog title, given her unfortunate track record of losing six out of her last seven fights. Furthermore, she has faced defeat in her last four consecutive fights, including a second-round TKO loss to Marina Rodriguez in September.

Despite not being flawless, Gillian Robertson has an advantageous position to secure a victory due to her four wins in her previous six fights. One of her notable achievements was the TKO victory over Polyana Viana, which earned her the prestigious ‘performance of the night’ accolade at UFC 297.

Waterson-Gomez vs. Robertson Prediction: Gillian Robertson

Waterson-Gomez vs. Robertson Best Bet: Gillian Robertson ML (-172)

Andrei Arlovski vs. Martin Buday — Heavyweight

  • Record: Andrei Arlovski (34-23, 2 NC)  vs. Martin Buday (13-2)
  • Moneyline: Andrei Arlovski (+220) | Martin Buday (-260)
  • Round total: 2.5 — Over (-185) | Under (+155)

Andrei Arlovski’s prime has long passed as he prepares for UFC 303, having suffered three consecutive defeats, two of which were by knockout or submission. The former UFC Heavyweight Champion now faces the challenge of Martin Buday, who is determined to bounce back after a knockout loss to Shamil Gaziev just seven months ago.

Arlovski needs to hang up the gloves at this point because the 45-year-old no longer belongs in the cage. Three of Buday’s last five fights went the distance, though, while seven of Arlovski’s last 10 did the same, making the Over the best available betting option.

Arlovski vs. Buday Prediction: Martin Buday

Arlovski vs. Buday Best Bet: o2.5 Total Rounds (-185)

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Rei Tsuruya vs. Carlos Hernandez — Flyweight

  • Record: Rei Tsuruya (9-0)  vs. Carlos Hernandez (9-3)
  • Moneyline: Rei Tsuruya (-600) | Carlos Hernandez (+425)
  • Round total: 2.5 — Over (+150) | Under (-180)

I won’t dwell too much on this upcoming fight, as it appears to be quite one-sided. Rei Tsuruya, with a perfect 9-0 record in MMA, is making his debut and seems to be a formidable opponent. On the other hand, Carlos Hernandez has had a rough start in the UFC, being finished twice in his first three fights, and doesn’t seem to be at the same level as his competition in the promotion.

Tsuruya’s impressive 88.9% finish rate suggests that he is likely to conclude things early.

Tsuruya vs. Hernandez Prediction: Rei Tsuruya

Tsuruya vs. Hernandez Best Bet: u2.5 Total Rounds (-180)

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Ricky Simon vs. Vinicius Oliveira — Bantamweight

  • Record: Ricky Simon (20-5)  vs. Vinicius Oliveira (20-3)
  • Moneyline: Ricky Simon (-210) | Vinicius Oliveira (+180)
  • Round total: 2.5 — Over (-110) | Under (-120)

In March, Vinicius Oliveira made his debut by securing a victory against Bernando Sopai, marking his third consecutive knockout triumph. Currently, Oliveira is scheduled to go head-to-head with Ricky Simon, who is in dire need of a win following two consecutive losses, a situation he hasn’t encountered in the past five years.

Even though Simon has more experience, I’m going with an upset. Oliveira has solid potential and has the perfect opportunity to catch his opponent in the middle of a slump. It won’t be easy, but sprinkling some money on an Oliveira upset is worth it.

Simon vs. Oliveira Prediction: Vinicius Oliveira

Simon vs. Oliveira Best Bet: Olivaira ML (+180)


UFC 303: Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Information & FAQ

When is UFC 303?

  • The scheduled date for UFC 303 is Saturday, June 29, 2024.

Where is UFC 303?

  • The live broadcast of UFC 303 will take place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV.

What time does UFC 303 start?

  • UFC 303 Early Prelims Start Time: 6 p.m. ET
  • UFC 303 Preliminary Card Start Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • UFC 303 Main Card Start Time: 10 p.m. ET

How to Watch UFC 303

  • UFC 303 Early Prelims Channel: ESPN+, ESPN
  • UFC 303 Preliminary Card Channel: ESPN+, PPV
  • UFC 303 Main Card Channel: ESPN+, PPV

How to Bet on UFC 303

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