UFC 303: Alex Pereira vs Jiri Prochazka 2 Fight Prediction, Odds & Best Bets

This Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 prediction for UFC 303 is brought to you by BetOnline. BetOnline is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from UFC odds to wrestling and everything in between.

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The Ultimate Fighting Championship is back in Las Vegas this weekend for UFC 303. The upcoming pay-per-view card is loaded, featuring a massive main event that will see Alex Pereira put the UFC Light Heavyweight title on the line against Jiri Prochazka.

Conor McGregor and Michael Chandler were originally supposed to headline this weekend’s PPV, but that fight was scrapped due to McGregor dealing with a foot injury. Instead, Pereira and Prochazka will go to war in their second five-round showdown in less than a year, leaving time to tell who’ll emerge victorious this time.

Let’s not waste any time and jump right into this preview of UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2. We’ll make some predictions and analyze the fight’s top betting opportunities.

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 Betting Odds

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Wednesday, June 26 at 10:07 a.m. ET.

Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Moneyline

• Alex Pereira (-125)
• Jiri Prochazka (+105)

Will Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Go the Distance?

• Yes (+375)
• No (-550)

Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Round Total

• Over 1.5 Rounds (-150)
• Under 1.5 Rounds (+120)

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Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 Tale of the Tape

Alex Pereira (c) — Jiri Prochazka

• Record: 10-2 — 30-4-1
• Height: 6’4” — 6’3”
• Reach: 79” — 80”
• Weight: 205 lbs — 205 lbs
• Age: 36 — 31
• Fighting Stance: Orthodox — Orthodox
• Knockouts: 8 — 26

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UFC 303: Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Fight Preview

Saturday’s main event is shaping up to be a close-fought bought if the oddsmakers are to be believed. While Alex Pereira is currently BetOnline’s -125 favorite to retain the light heavyweight gold, those odds carry an implied win probability of just 55.6%.

Pereira has had a remarkable start to his UFC career, achieving a record of 7-1 with the company. He displayed his dominance in the middleweight division and claimed its ultimate title. In his first appearance at light heavyweight, the experienced Brazilian faced Jan Blachowicz at UFC 291 and emerged victorious with a split-decision triumph. Less than four months later, Pereira faced Jiri Prochazka in his next challenge.

The UFC 295 matchup between them was short-lived. Pereira surprised Prochazka with an impressive jab towards the end of the second round, followed by a barrage of elbows that knocked him out, earning Pereira the UFC Light Heavyweight championship and the coveted ‘performance of the night’ accolade.

Afterwards, Pereira triumphed in a single defense by knocking out Jamahal Hill in the first round, prior to the conclusion of UFC 300.

However, we must acknowledge that Prochazka is not an incompetent individual.

Prochazka, having achieved an impressive record of 26-3-1 in the Czech Republic and Japan, finally entered the UFC arena in July 2020. He started his journey with consecutive knockout wins against Volkan Oezdemir and Dominick Reyes, leading him to a light heavyweight championship opportunity against Glover Texeira at UFC 275. Despite the fight appearing to go the distance, Prochazka sealed the victory with a rear-naked choke in the closing moments of the final round.

Despite previously losing to Pereira, the 31-year-old fighter showcased resilience and successfully recovered. Prochazka’s recent performance at UFC 300 was outstanding, as he secured a second-round TKO win over Aleksandar Rakic and was awarded the performer of the night.

When it comes to statistics, Pereira has an average of 5.1 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy rate of 62%. On the other hand, Prochazka records 5.8 significant strikes per minute with a 56% accuracy rate. However, it should be noted that Prochazka also receives nearly two more strikes per minute compared to the champion, and his strike defense is noticeably weaker at 41% compared to Pereira’s 50%.

While both men possess strong grappling skills, Pereira stands out with a flawless takedown accuracy of 100% and a solid defense rate of 70%. In contrast, Prochazka has recorded a 60% success rate in takedowns and a defense rate of 68%.

Another important point to mention is that Pereira has an impeccable record of 5-0 when favored in the UFC, whereas Prochazka has a less impressive 1-1 record as an underdog.

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UFC 303: Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Prop Bet Odds & Betting Trends

As expected, BetOnline offers a wide range of Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 prop bets, providing additional insights into the potential outcome of the fight.

To begin with, oddsmakers have low expectations for a long fight. The total rounds set is only 1.5, and BetOnline predicts that the match will not reach the end with -550 odds. This doesn’t come as a surprise considering the fighters’ history. Out of their combined 47 fights, 43 have ended with some form of finish.

Considering these factors, it is logical to predict that Pereira has a higher chance of winning by KO/TKO with odds of -120. Out of his 10 career victories, eight have been achieved through knockouts, with four of them occurring in his most recent six fights.

Prochazka is the top contender for a knockout victory (+210) if there is an upset this weekend. This is not surprising considering his impressive track record of 26 knockout wins, with 11 of them achieved in his last 13 fights.

Pereira’s highest chance of achieving a KO/TKO victory is in Round 1 (+295). Out of his eight knockout wins throughout his career, four of them took place in the first round.

On the other hand, Prochazka has a +650 chance of winning by a first-round knockout, a feat he has achieved an impressive 21 times during his 12-year career.

UFC 303: Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Predictions & Best Bet

After handling Prochazka the first time, I recommend taking Pereira to retain at UFC 303. It’s going to be a close bout, but I see the champion successfully keeping his distance from the challenger before eventually putting him down for the count.

With how these combatants are known to brawl, I predict that Pereira will win via KO/TKO. Having said that, if you aren’t feeling as confident as I am, there’s nothing wrong with a straight-up bet given that his moneyline odds (-125) still hold solid value.

Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 Prediction: Alex Pereira wins

Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 Bet: Pereira via KO/TKO (-120) or outright (-125)

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UFC 303: Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Information & FAQ

When is UFC 303?

• Mark your calendars for Saturday, June 29, 2024 as UFC 303 is set to unfold.

Where is UFC 303?

• The live broadcast of UFC 303 will take place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV.

What time does UFC 303 start?

• UFC 303 Early Prelims Start Time: 6 p.m. ET
• UFC 303 Preliminary Card Start Time: 8 p.m. ET
• UFC 303 Main Card Start Time: 10 p.m. ET

How to Watch UFC 303

• UFC 303 Early Prelims Channel: ESPN+, ESPN
• UFC 303 Preliminary Card Channel: ESPN+, PPV
• UFC 303 Main Card Channel: ESPN+, PPV

How to Bet on UFC 303

• All of the top online sports betting sites will have UFC odds, but here are some of the sites we recommend most for UFC betting enthusiasts.