MLB Must Bet Props: Sides & Team Totals | July 10th, 2024

HUMP DAY!

Wishing a pleasant Wednesday to all individuals seeking excitement. Today’s schedule is packed with thrilling opportunities, and I am prepared to provide you with some promising options to potentially boost your finances.

Top MLB Prop Bets for Wednesday’s Slate

Picks in this piece are courtesy of BetOnline. At BetOnline, you can get great odds on all of the top MLB matchups every day.

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Tuesdays card went 4-3 (+2.3 Units)

Let’s keep it rolling!

Team Total: Braves F5 Team Total Over 2.5 (+100)

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The Stank:

I am a huge fan of the first-five-inning strategy in my game, especially when exploiting weak pitcher matchup ratings. If you are not familiar with this approach, it’s something I heavily rely on.

Today’s victim is Arizona Diamondbacks start, Slade Cecconi, fading a fellow Italian, which is typically not my cup of tea. However, all is fair in sports betting. Cecconi has the second-worst pitcher rating today on Batters-Box.com’s pitcher ratings. So far this season, the young right-hander is posting a 6.10 ERA and a WHIP of 1.31. He has allowed teams to go over 2.5 runs in seven of his 13 starts this season.

The Atlanta Braves present a great betting opportunity today as they possess the highest average hitter ratings. Their lineup has been evaluated with an elite rating, boasting six elite hitters and no poor performers. Although they may not have demonstrated consistent scoring in the first five games, particularly away from home this season, the team undoubtedly holds immense potential.

This play is definitely worth considering, especially with the favorable odds. In their recent three games, Atlanta has been averaging 2.67 runs. We should remain optimistic that they can kickstart their offense early and secure a win for us.

Spread: Mets F5 (-0.5) vs Nationals (-145)

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The Stank:

Happy Patrick Corbin Day to all who celebrate.

As usual, the Nationals southpaw comes into today’s full slate of games with the worst pitcher rating, according to Batters-Box.com. He will be taking on the Mets, who have owned him over the last few years. They are batting .312 with an OPS of .926 as a team against Corbin. On top of that, the Mets have nine elite hitters today (four in default & five in current season ratings). Corbin has been doing very well with striking batters out this season. However, the Mets have zero hitters above the league-average strikeout rate in this matchup. 

Happy Patrick Corbin BvP day pic.twitter.com/m0JJr3jAVk

— Jobu’s Rum (@Jobus_DFS) July 10, 2024

On the bump for the Mets is Luis Severino. He has been very serviceable for the Mets this season. The former Yankee stud has an ERA of 3.83 along with a WHIP of 1.20. While these stats may not be exceptional, they are good enough to hold the Nationals down for a few innings. This is crucial, as it allows the Mets offense to go to work against a pitcher with even worse stats.

Both teams are close in numbers regarding the first five scoring, but with the Mets’ success against Corbin, I will always lean towards it being an awful day for Mr. Corbin.

Mets F5 (-0.5)

Sprinkle of the Day: Pete Alonso Home Run (+340)

Where to find more advanced analytics

When it comes to finding the top matchup ratings for my daily MLB wagers, Batters-Box.com is my preferred website. While it may not provide all the answers, it serves as an excellent starting point for my daily baseball bets. In the previous season, I managed to increase my winnings by 98 units with the help of Batters-Box.com. Don’t just take my word for it, you can verify my success by checking out my Action profile @cmarchio.

In addition, I utilize FanGraphs, Statmuse, and ESPN to gather additional statistics that aid me in determining whether a player is worth my investment or not.

Good luck this season you psychos!

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