NASCAR Cup Series Ally 400 Predictions & Picks: Will Polesitter Hamlin’s Recent Frustrations End at Nashville?

After enduring a series of frustrating weeks, NASCAR Cup Series star Denny Hamlin finally has an opportunity to leave all that behind as he takes the pole position at the Ally 400, taking place at Nashville Superspeedway today (3:30 pm ET, NBC).

Over the past few weeks, Hamlin’s regular season championship hopes took a big hit. After finishing in the top five in five consecutive races, he finished 38th in the Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway, 34th in the Iowa Corn 350 at Iowa Speedway, and 24th in last week’s USA Today 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.

Consequently, he finds himself trailing Hendrick Motorsports teammates Kyle Larson and Chase Elliott by 40 points in the current NASCAR Cup Series points standings, entering this week’s race.

Current NASCAR Cup Series Points Standings (Through 18 Races)

Drivers in bold have won at least one race this season.

  1. Kyle Larson – 620
  2. Chase Elliott – 620
  3. Denny Hamlin – 580
  4. Martin Truex Jr. – 572
  5. Tyler Reddick – 560
  6. Christopher Bell – 555
  7. William Byron – 548
  8. Ryan Blaney – 526
  9. Ross Chastain – 510
  10. Brad Keselowski – 507
  11. Ty Gibbs – 499
  12. Alex Bowman – 476
  13. Chris Buescher – 467
  14. Joey Logano – 430
  15. Bubba Wallace – 417
  16. Chase Briscoe – 405
  17. Kyle Busch – 385
  18. Daniel Suarez – 369
  19. Josh Berry – 357
  20. Todd Gilliland – 347
  21. Austin Cindric – 345
  22. Michael McDowell – 331

The final eight regular season races hold the potential for a great deal of drama, yet currently, the majority of the 16 playoff spots have been secured. However, apart from competing for the regular season championship and the advantageous benefits it brings, contenders such as Briscoe, Busch, and Berry are engaged in a fierce battle for positions in the Round of 16. Therefore, every race leading up to the highly anticipated regular season finale at Darlington on August 24th at 7:30 pm ET on NBC will hold immense significance.

Today, who is likely to secure crucial points and potentially claim a significant win? Although Hamlin starts from the pole position, both he and Larson are regarded as top contenders for victory, according to the Ally 400 odds on BetOnline.

Odds to Win the 2024 Ally 400

  • Kyle Larson +400
  • Denny Hamlin +400
  • Martin Truex Jr. +650
  • Christopher Bell +900
  • Ryan Blaney +900
  • Ty Gibbs +1100
  • Brad Keselowski +1200
  • Josh Berry +1400
  • Ross Chastain +1600
  • Tyler Reddick +1600
  • William Byron +1800
  • Chase Elliott +2000
  • Joey Logano +2000
  • Chris Buescher +2800
  • Kyle Busch +2800
  • Alex Bowman +4000
  • Bubba Wallace +5000
  • Corey Heim +6600
  • Austin Cindric +8000
  • Daniel Suarez +10000
  • Noah Gragson +10000
  • Chase Briscoe +10000
  • Michael McDowell +10000
  • J. Allmendinger +10000

Check out the rest of the Ally 400 odds at BetOnline, a longtime fixture among the top online sports betting sites.

Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then snag some extra cash (100% welcome bonus if your first deposit is with Bitcoin, Ethereum, or another cryptocurrency) to bet on today’s Cup Series race at Nashville Superspeedway.

Ally 400 Predictions & Picks

In last season’s Ally 400, Chastain held off Truex and Hamlin to pick up the first of his two 2023 wins.

Chastain, who also won the season-ending race at Phoenix, has yet to win this season and has only two top-five finishes. But thanks to avoiding disaster for the most part, he is in a comfortable position in the playoff race. Only twice thus far has he finished outside of the top 20, coming in 21st at the Daytona 500 and 32nd in the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 at Texas Motor Speedway.

Chastain will start 20th today, but he is someone I have my eye on for a top-10 finish. I’d love to see his odds a bit shorter than -125 (at Bovada), but I’m locking him in anyway.

Although Chastain has consistently held a position within the top 20, William Byron’s season has been rather peculiar.

Byron is tied for the series lead with three wins and has ten top-10 finishes. But he has also finished outside of the top 20 five times, including a 26th-place finish last week.

Can the #24 car make a comeback at the Ally 400? Starting in seventh position, he has odds of +240 to finish in the top five and -150 to finish in the top ten. Although the latter option may not seem as appealing due to the higher risk, I personally feel confident in choosing it because Byron rarely has back-to-back poor performances. It may seem contradictory to hesitate on Chastain but have more faith in Byron at lower odds, but I have greater certainty in Byron at -150 compared to Chastain at -125.

Ally 400 Race Winners

  • 2023: Ross Chastain
  • 2022: Chase Elliott
  • 2021: Kyle Larson

Berry, aiming for a remarkable fifth top-ten finish in seven races, will be joining Hamlin on the front row this afternoon. According to Bovada, his odds of achieving this feat are -115.

Berry’s future hangs in the balance as Stewart-Haas Racing faces an imminent closure. However, the rookie has managed to make a strong case for himself with his recent performances. Just last week in Loudon, he matched his season-best finish, coming in third place. Based on this, I believe he will continue to ride the wave of positivity and secure more impressive finishes this week.

My top choice for the Ally 400 is Buescher (+115) to secure a spot in the top ten. Although he has only achieved this feat three times in the last 11 races, he impressively finished fifth last week and will begin today’s race in ninth position. Buescher has a tendency to surprise with strong finishes, especially when expectations are low. In fact, it wouldn’t be astonishing if he secures a playoff spot with a victory today.

Speaking of the victory, with four finishing position picks this week, I’m not overly invested in making an Ally 400 winner pick. With that in mind, I’m going to roll with a few low-risk, high-reward picks with Bowman (who will start 12th), Buescher, and Byron.

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Other NASCAR Betting Information

Where Can You Bet on NASCAR This Season?

Many sports betting sites provide NASCAR odds for the NASCAR Cup Series, NASCAR Xfinity Series, and NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series, making them easily accessible.

Additionally, sportsbooks like BetOnline, BetUS, and Bovada offer finishing position odds for each of NASCAR’s top national series. For example, you can bet on top 3 and top 5 finishing position odds for the Ally 400 at Bovada.

If you are not familiar with any of them, take a look at our sportsbook reviews. These reviews provide in-depth information about each book, including betting options, deposit and payout methods, mobile and live betting features, and details about sportsbook sign-up bonuses and other promotions available. Additionally, our reviews also cover factors such as customer support to help you make an informed decision.

  • BetOnline Sportsbook Review
  • BetUS Sportsbook Review
  • Bovada Sportsbook Review

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Are you new to betting on NASCAR? Use our in-depth NASCAR betting guide to learn more about the basics about betting on the Cup Series, Xfinity Series, and Truck Series.

How did you find the betting breakdown of the Ally 400? Betting News provides coverage for all Cup Series races, along with many Xfinity Series and Truck Series races. Don’t forget to bookmark us and return for more next week. We are currently halfway through the NASCAR Cup Series season, and there are still plenty of opportunities to make money with several regular season races and the playoffs ahead. So, buckle up, enjoy the excitement, and remember to bet responsibly.