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As the 2024 MLB All-Star Break nears, Tuesday’s schedule sees the Philadelphia Phillies (55-29) beginning a three-game series with the Chicago Cubs (39-46) at Wrigley Field.
After splitting a four-game series with the rival Miami Marlins, the Phillies are hitting the road in search of momentum. On the other hand, the Cubs are heading back home following a 7-1 defeat against the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday.
Will Philadelphia secure another victory? Or will Chicago have the final say on their home turf?
In this analysis, we will provide answers to your inquiries and present the most promising MLB wagers for today’s match between the Phillies and Cubs. Let’s delve into my predictions and selections.
2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 39-45-1 (46.5%)
MLB Betting Today: Phillies vs Cubs (7/2)
Phillies vs Cubs Game Information
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (55-29, 22-15 Away) vs. Chicago Cubs (39-46, 22-18 Home)
- Venue & Location: Wrigley Field (Chicago, IL)
- Date: Tuesday, July 2, 2024
- Game Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
- How to Watch Astros vs. Mets: MLB.TV, Fubo, TBS
Phillies vs Cubs MLB Probable Pitchers
- Phillies: Michael Marcado (1 game/0 starts — 0-0, 0.00 ERA)
- Cubs: Hayden Wesneski (21 games/4 starts — 2-4, 3.60 ERA)
Cubs vs Phillies MLB Odds & Spread
Cubs vs. Phillies MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Tuesday, July 2 at 10:15 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.
Phillies vs Cubs Run Line
- Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-180)
- Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+160)
Cubs vs Phillies Over/Under
- Over 9.5 Runs (+103)
- Under 9.5 Runs (-123)
Phillies vs Cubs Moneyline
- Philadelphia Phillies (+113)
- Chicago Cubs (-123)
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Phillies vs Cubs MLB Betting Trends
- The Philadelphia team has won all of its last five games against the Cubs.
- In their most recent 20 games against the NL, the Cubs have a record of 7 wins and 13 losses.
- Philadelphia has seen the Under hit in eight out of their last 12 games.
- In six out of the Cubs’ last nine home games, the total hit the Under.
- In seven out of the last 10 Phillies-Cubs matchups, the total points scored fell below the expected mark.
Phillies vs Cubs Predictions & MLB Picks Today (7/2)
Tonight, the Phillies are set to play as the top-ranked team in the Majors. However, their recent performance has lacked consistency. Over the past few weeks, they have been alternating wins and losses, resulting in a 9-9 record in their last 18 games.
One of the big reasons behind Philadelphia’s recent back-and-forth play is injuries. Two of the Phillies’ top bats — Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper — are currently on the 10-day injured list and won’t be back until the weekend at the earliest. Regardless of how good the rest of the roster is, not having Schwarber and Harper for any stretch hurts.
The Phillies can take solace in the fact that the Cubs are currently struggling. Despite starting June with a somewhat decent record, Chicago has fallen seven games below .500 after a disappointing 2-6 stretch in their last eight games. Even though five of those losses occurred while playing away, returning home doesn’t seem to be a solution either.
In their recent seven home games, the Cubs have a record of 3 wins and 4 losses. Additionally, the Cubs have struggled against NL East teams this season with a record of 7 wins and 10 losses, while the Phillies have had success against NL Central clubs with a record of 12 wins and 8 losses.
The Cubs haven’t experienced much success against NL East clubs this season.
Recently, Chicago has been quite unfortunate in their matches against Philadelphia. The Cubs have been unable to secure a victory in their last five encounters with the Phillies, with an average deficit of 3.8 runs in each game.
To maintain their momentum, the Phillies will heavily rely on Michael Mercado, who is set to make his inaugural MLB start. The 25-year-old right-handed pitcher has showcased impressive skills in Triple-A Lehigh Valley this season, boasting a record of 1-1, an outstanding 2.28 ERA, and an impressive 44 strikeouts in 47 1/3 innings over 14 appearances, 10 of which were starts.
In the meantime, the Cubs have chosen to stick with Hayden Wesneski, despite his limited experience of only four starts in 21 games. Wesneski’s performance in 2024 has been fairly satisfactory overall, although he has given up seven earned runs and four home runs, along with seven walks, in his last eight innings. Furthermore, he has not secured a victory since April 25 and has not managed to pitch for five innings since May 8.
How long will Cubs RHP Hayden Wesneski last on the mound tonight?
With the ways the Cubs have performed lately, I’m taking the Phillies to win. Even with the injuries piling up, Philadelphia is still the MLB’s best team and has more than enough talent to upset Chicago on the road.
Keeping that in mind, we’ll also back the Phillies on the moneyline. Again, they’re the better team here and proved that last year by going 5-1 SU against the Cubs. Expect history to repeat itself at Wrigley Field.
Phillies vs. Cubs MLB Prediction: PHI wins
Best Phillies vs. Cubs Bet: PHI ML (+113)
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Best Phillies vs Cubs MLB Player Prop (7/2)
With Harper and Schwarber sidelined, I’m taking Nick Castellanos o0.5 runs + RBIs (-132) for the best Phillies vs. Cubs player prop bet.
Recently, Castellanos has been performing exceptionally well on the baseball field. Over the course of his last 13 games, the esteemed two-time MLB All-Star has achieved an impressive slash line of .380/.429/.600. Additionally, he has accumulated a total of 19 hits, two home runs, four runs, and 12 RBIs during this period. Notably, in his most recent game, he managed to amass three RBIs. It is worth noting that during his last three visits to Wrigley Field, he has also contributed five RBIs and two runs, averaging 2.3 runs and RBIs per game.
Given Wesneski’s lack of reliability, Castellanos has an excellent chance to keep up his impressive performance.
Best Phillies vs. Cubs MLB Prop Bet: Nick Castellanos o0.5 Runs + RBIs (-132)
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