Guardians vs Rays MLB Predictions, Odds, Total & Best Bets (7/12)

Today’s Guardians vs. Rays MLB predictions and best bets are brought to you by BetOnline. BetOnline is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from MLB odds to the NBA and everything in between.

On Friday, the Cleveland Guardians (57-35) will commence a three-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays (46-47) at Tropicana Field, with the intention of strengthening their grip on the AL Central lead.

In an effort to break their losing streak, the Guardians will make every effort to prevent a third consecutive loss tonight after being defeated 10-1 by the Detroit Tigers. On the other hand, the Rays are fresh off a 5-4 victory against the New York Yankees. Brad Lowe showcased his leadership by recording three hits and an RBI in four at-bats during the game.

Will Cleveland be able to overcome its slump? Or will Tampa Bay continue to add to the challenges faced by the visiting team?

Today, let’s delve into the predictions and picks for the Guardians vs. Rays game as we address these questions and emphasize the top MLB bets.

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 54-58-1 (48.2%)

MLB Betting Today: Guardians vs Rays (7/12)

Guardians vs Rays Game Information

Matchup: Cleveland Guardians (57-35, 27-24 Away) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (46-47, 25-26 Home)
Venue & Location: Tropicana Field (St. Petersburg, FL)
Date: Friday, July 12, 2024
Game Time: 6:50 p.m. ET
How to Watch Guardians vs. Rays: MLB.TV, Fubo, Apple TV+

Guardians vs Rays MLB Probable Pitchers

Guardians: Carlos Carrasco (16 starts — 3-6, 5.22 ERA)
Rays: Taj Bradley (11 starts — 3-4, 3.23 ERA)

Rays vs Guardians MLB Odds & Spread

Rays vs. Guardians MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Friday, July 12 at 9:44 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Guardians vs Rays Run Line

Cleveland Guardians +1.5 (-175)
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+155)

Rays vs Guardians Over/Under

Over 8 Runs (-105)
Under 8 Runs (-115)

Guardians vs Rays Moneyline

Cleveland Guardians (+126)
Tampa Bay Rays (-137)

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Guardians vs Rays MLB Betting Trends

In its previous five road games, Cleveland has a record of 1 win and 4 losses.
In its past 10 home games, Tampa Bay has achieved a straight up record of 7 wins and 3 losses.
Cleveland’s last six games saw the Over being hit in five of them.
Out of Tampa Bay’s last six games as the favorite, the Under was achieved in four of them.
In the past five matchups between Cleveland and Tampa Bay at Tropicana Field, the total score exceeded the projected amount each time.

Guardians vs Rays Predictions & MLB Picks Today (7/12)

Tonight, the Guardians hold the top spot in the AL Central, but their position is at risk if their recent poor performance persists. Despite a promising beginning to the season, they have only managed a 6-9 record in their last 15 games. Additionally, Cleveland has suffered three losses in their last four matches, being outscored 24-15 in the process.

After going through a recent slump, the Rays’ fortunes have changed with two victories in three games against the Yankees. This positive shift in momentum allows Tampa Bay to continue playing at their home stadium, Tropicana Field, where they have won seven out of their last ten games.

Despite moving in different directions, it is important to acknowledge that the Guardians have a record of 12-7 SU (63.2%) against AL East teams this season. On the other hand, the Rays have a record of 8-10 SU (44.4%) when playing against an AL Central team.

Despite being the favorites tonight, the Rays actually have a 52.9% winning percentage at home in 2024, which is the 12th-lowest in the MLB. On the other hand, the Guardians have a 55.6% success rate as underdogs on the road, ranking 6th in the league.

The Guardians thrive when they’re against the odds on the road.

Tampa Bay faces the challenge of their lack of recent success against Cleveland. Out of the last 15 games played between these teams, the Guardians have emerged victorious 10 times, including three wins in their last four encounters.

However, the outcome of the Guardians’ chance of winning relies heavily on the performance of Carlos Carrasco. The experienced right-handed pitcher has struggled with a 5.22 ERA in his previous 16 starts. Nevertheless, there has been improvement in his recent games, demonstrated by a 3.68 ERA and 21 strikeouts in 20 innings over his last four appearances.

However, it should be noted that in his last four games against Tampa Bay, he has a record of 0-3 and an ERA of 6.10.

In order to surpass Rays’ RHP Taj Bradley, Carrasco needs to continue his impressive performance as of late. Recently, the former 2018 fifth-rounder has been showcasing some of his finest baseball skills. Over his last six starts, he has achieved a 1-2 record with a remarkable 1.29 ERA. Along the way, he has effectively limited opposing batters to a .184/.261/.264 slash line.

Rays RHP Taj Bradley has been red-hot since the beginning of June. Can he maintain that momentum?

With the way the Guardians are struggling, let’s back the Rays to win. Tampa Bay is feeling good about itself after a series win over New York and is a good spot to keep things going as long as Bradley keeps up his strong play. It could wind up being close, however, the Rays are in a better position to win.

But no matter who wins, let’s take the Under on the 8-run total. A low-scoring affair is likely given that the Under is 16-10-1 when Cleveland is the road underdog and 19-15 when Tampa Bay is the home favorite. Additionally, Carrasco’s last 10 starts saw an average of 7.5 runs scored while all but one of Bradley’s 11 previous appearances featured seven or fewer total runs.

Guardians vs. Rays MLB Prediction: TB wins

Best Guardians vs. Rays Bet: u8 Total Runs (-115)

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Best Guardians vs Rays MLB Player Prop (7/12)

You can’t go wrong with a handful of Guardians vs. Rays player props, including Carlos Carrasco o2.5 earned runs (-102).

Despite the Under being the favored option in this proposition, it is more logical to support the Over. Carrasco has given up more than 2.5 earned runs in 50% of his 16 appearances so far, including allowing the Over in his last two starts. Furthermore, in three out of his last four matchups against the Rays, the Over was successful, with Carrasco allowing a minimum of six earned runs on each occasion.

Despite the Rays not scoring a significant number of runs, historical evidence indicates that betting on the Over is the favorable choice for this evening.

Guardians vs Rays MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (7/12)