NASCAR Cup Series Great American Gateway 400 Predictions & Picks: Will Hamlin Pick Up Another Pocono Win?

After a wet and wild run through the Windy City streets last week, the NASCAR Cup Series is back on the ovals this week for the 21st race of the season, the Great American Getaway 400 at Pocono (2:30 pm ET, USA).

Last week, Alex Bowman became the latest driver to punch his ticket to the championship playoffs with a victory in the Grant Park 165 in Chicago. It was Bowman’s first win since March 2022, when he won the Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.

Heading into today’s race at Pocono, the race for the regular season championship has intensified with series points leader Kyle Larson finishing second to last in the 40-car field after starting on the pole in Chicago. Most of the playoff field has already been determined, either through wins or points, with only six races remaining in the regular season.

Current NASCAR Cup Series Points Standings (Through 20 Races)

Drivers in bold have won at least one race this season.

  1. Kyle Larson (Hendrick Motorsports) – 671
  2. Chase Elliott (Hendrick Motorsports) – 660
  3. Tyler Reddick (23XI Racing) – 648
  4. Denny Hamlin (Joe Gibbs Racing) – 629
  5. Martin Truex Jr. (Joe Gibbs Racing) – 601
  6. William Byron (Hendrick Motorsports – 599
  7. Ryan Blaney (Team Penske) – 587
  8. Christopher Bell (Joe Gibbs Racing) – 586
  9. Ty Gibbs (Joe Gibbs Racing) – 560
  10. Brad Keselowski (RFK Racing) – 558
  11. Alex Bowman (Hendrick Motorsports) – 553
  12. Ross Chastain (Trackhouse Racing) – 529
  13. Chris Buescher (RFK Racing) – 521
  14. Joey Logano (Team Penske) – 484
  15. Bubba Wallace (23XI Racing) – 476
  16. Chase Briscoe (Stewart-Haas Racing) – 433
  17. Kyle Busch (Richard Childress Racing) – 423
  18. Daniel Surez (Trackhouse Racing) – 410
  19. Todd Gilliland (Front Row Motorsports) – 400
  20. Austin Cindric (Team Penske) – 389

Truex and Gibbs are poised to secure a spot in the Round of 16, despite their lack of victories this season. Even if they fail to secure a win before the regular season finale on September 1st at Darlington, their position remains assured.

Today, Gibbs has an opportunity to solidify his position from pole position after finishing third last week. This marks his second pole of the season, with his first being at the Coca-Cola 600 in May. Even achieving a sixth-place finish, similar to his performance at Charlotte, would greatly enhance his chances of securing a playoff spot. However, if he manages to claim his first Cup Series victory today, any lingering uncertainties will vanish.

Gibbs is on pole, but he isn’t the favorite to win the race, according to Great American Getaway 400 odds at BetOnline. That would be five-time race winner Denny Hamlin, who will start fourth. Hamlin won last year’s race under controversial circumstances after making contact with Larson late in the race.

Odds to Win the Great American Getaway 400

  • Denny Hamlin +400
  • Martin Truex Jr. +500
  • Kyle Larson +600
  • Ty Gibbs +650
  • William Byron +950
  • Tyler Reddick +1100
  • Ryan Blaney +1100
  • Brad Keselowski +1200
  • Christopher Bell +1600
  • Chase Elliott +1600
  • Joey Logano +2200
  • Chris Buescher +2800
  • Alex Bowman +2800
  • Josh Berry +2800
  • Kyle Busch +3300
  • Ross Chastain +4000
  • Bubba Wallace +4000
  • Michael McDowell +5000
  • Daniel Suarez +10000
  • Noah Gragson +10000
  • Chase Briscoe +10000
  • Austin Cindric +10000
  • Todd Gilliland +10000
  • Carson Hocevar +10000

Check out the rest of the Great American Getaway 400 odds at BetOnline, a longtime fixture among the top online sports betting sites.

Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then snag some extra cash (100% welcome bonus if your first deposit is with Bitcoin, Ethereum, or another cryptocurrency) to bet on today’s Cup Series race at Nashville Superspeedway.

Starting Lineup for the 2024 Great American Getaway 400

  1. Ty Gibbs
  2. William Byron
  3. Martin Truex Jr.
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Josh Berry
  6. Alex Bowman
  7. Tyler Reddick
  8. Ryan Blaney
  9. Zane Smith
  10. Joey Logano
  11. Chase Elliott
  12. Kyle Larson
  13. Christopher Bell
  14. Brad Keselowski
  15. Carson Hocevar
  16. Daniel Suarez
  17. Austin Dillon
  18. Chris Buescher
  19. Ross Chastain
  20. Austin Cindric

Great American Getaway 400 Predictions & Picks

  • Alex Bowman is listed at +100 on Bovada to finish in the top ten. Despite his track record of only achieving a top-ten finish once after a win, I still believe he has a good chance to perform well today. Notably, in 2020, after winning the first of two Pocono races, Bowman managed to secure a seventh-place finish in the second race the following day.
  • Chris Buescher to finish in the top ten (+130 at Bovada): Buescher will start 18th today, but I really like the value here. Prior to finishing 20th last week, he finished fifth in back-to-back weeks at New Hampshire and Nashville. With where he is in the points, he needs to have a strong Sunday, and I think he will.
  • Larson to finish in the top five (+100 at Bovada): Larson has bounced back well after his poorer finishes this season, and I expect that trend to continue today. After finishing 32nd at Atlanta in the second race of the season, he won the following week at Las Vegas. And after finishing 34th at Iowa Speedway, he finished fourth the following week at New Hampshire.
  • Denny Hamlin to finish in the top three (+130): Hamlin loves Pocono, and a win or contending for the win would be a welcome sight for him after finishing 30th in Chicago. It was his fifth straight finish outside of the top ten, a stretch in which he has finished 38th, 24th, 24th, 12th, and 30th.
  • William Byron is favored to win Group G (+230 at Bovada) and the upcoming race. Despite not winning since the Cook Out 400 at Martinsville, Byron showcased impressive speed during practice and qualifying for the Great American Getaway 400. This is a highly encouraging sign for his chances of victory.

Recent NASCAR Cup Series at Pocono Winners (2004-Present)

  • 2023: Denny Hamlin
  • 2022: Chase Elliott
  • 2021: Kyle Busch
  • 2020: Denny Hamlin
  • 2019: Denny Hamlin
  • 2018: Kyle Busch
  • 2017: Kyle Busch
  • 2016: Chris Buescher
  • 2015: Matt Kenseth
  • 2014: Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  • 2013: Kasey Kahne
  • 2012: Jeff Gordon
  • 2011: Brad Keselowski
  • 2010: Greg Biffle
  • 2009: Denny Hamlin
  • 2008: Carl Edwards
  • 2007: Kurt Busch
  • 2006: Denny Hamlin
  • 2005: Kurt Busch
  • 2004: Jimmie Johnson
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Other NASCAR Betting Information

Where Can You Bet on NASCAR This Season?

Many sports betting sites provide NASCAR odds for the NASCAR Cup Series, NASCAR Xfinity Series, and NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series, making them easily accessible to bettors.

Additionally, sportsbooks like BetOnline, BetUS, and Bovada offer finishing position odds for each of NASCAR’s top national series. For example, you can bet on top 3, top 5, and top 10 finishing position odds for the Great American Getaway 400 at Bovada.

Do you lack knowledge about any of them? Take a look at our sportsbook reviews for a comprehensive understanding of each book. Our reviews encompass betting options, deposit and payout methods, mobile and live betting features, as well as the types of sportsbook sign-up bonuses and other promotions offered by each book. Additionally, factors such as customer support are also considered in our reviews.

  • BetOnline Sportsbook Review
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  • Bovada Sportsbook Review

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As we reach the halfway mark of the NASCAR Cup Series season, there are still numerous opportunities to earn profits with the remaining regular season races and the playoffs ahead. Prepare for an exhilarating journey, relish every moment, and most importantly, gamble responsibly.