Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry | Best betting odds, parlays and picks

Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry takes place this weekend (Sat., July 20, 2024) inside Amalie Arena in Tampa, Fla., streaming live on DAZN pay-per-view (PPV). Initially, this date was supposed to host “El Gallo” versus Mike Tyson; however, after an incident on a flight, “Iron” was forced to pull out of the bout citing medical concerns.

When Paul needed a dance partner, he called upon “Platinum” Perry, who was last seen tearing it up at BKFC (but who has mainstream boxing experience under his belt).

The PPV co-main event for “Fear No Man” is undisputed Featherweight world champion Amanda Serrano. She will be moving up to Super Lightweight to take on Stevie Morgan. Also on the card is ex-UFC Middleweight Uriah Hall. He’s replacing Darren Till here to fight Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. (who lost to Anderson Silva a few years ago).

We should take a look at the money lines for the “Paul vs. Perry” fight, as well as the majority of the other matches on the card.

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Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry Money Line Odds

Photo by Bradley Collyer/PA Images via Getty Images

Jake Paul (-425) vs. Mike Perry (+300)

Jake Paul’s boxing shell game still has plenty of life left in it. However, in putting together a short notice fight with Mike Perry he may have bitten off more than he can chew. The former Disney Kid has used pugilism to manufacture a new image for himself, one which… I guess makes him look tough, like he’s ‘got that dog in him’? It’s also made him a pretty penny, but probably not as much as other pursuits could have grabbed him. However, marketing sugar water or crypto coins doesn’t come with the street cred this stuff brings in (to a certain audience).

But, how did we get here?

Paul scurried into the fight game on his brother’s coattails, scoring a first round TKO on AnEsonGib during the undercard of Logan Paul vs. KSI in 2020. Paul then went viral for KOing diminutive former NBA player Nate Robinson (who apparently needs a kidney to live right now).

In 2021 Paul began trolling MMA. He TKO’d Ben Askren (see it here) and then outpointed Tyron Woodley. He then starched Woodley on short notice after a fight with Tommy Fury fell through (watch it here).

In 2022 Paul signed on to fight Anderson Silva. For a change, this was an opponent who didn’t have less boxing experience or size than Paul. However, Silva was much older. Paul was able to bully his way to a unanimous decision win over the tired mixed martial arts (MMA) legend.

Paul, feeling high on his own supply, then fought Tommy Fury; someone he couldn’t out-box, out-muscle or out-pace. That resulted in the first loss of his career. Next up, in 2023, he met a lackadaisical Nate Diaz who — after having his payout was guaranteed — fought a tepid 10 rounds against Paul.

Paul, who actually tried during the fight, won via decision.

With the pool of interesting opponents running low, Paul then padded his record with some hand-picked some tomato cans. Indeed, Andre August and Ryan Bourland were both knocked out in the first round (see it here).

So, what have we learned after all this? Paul knows how to win circus fights. He usually picks opponents who can’t box and who are smaller and/or older than him. He’s not a good boxer, but he can box a little.

Perry is not significantly smaller or older than Paul, but there is a slight difference. However, he does have a disadvantage of a six-inch reach.

Perry washed out of UFC in 2021 with a 7-8 record and a reputation for putting on fun and bloody fights. He’s undefeated in combat sports since then, winning six bareknuckle bouts (all but one with BKFC).

In BKFC he’s defeated Michael Page, Luke Rockhold (see Rockhold’s teeth get smashed here), Eddie Alvarez (via corner stoppage) and Thiago Alves (see the TKO here).

Perry started his combat sports journey as a boxer, but later transitioned to MMA. As a boxer, he had a notable amateur career with a record of 8-3. However, his professional boxing debut ended in defeat, as he suffered a fourth-round knockout resulting in a 0-1 record.

We all recognize Perry’s ability to fight, his boxing technique may not be top-notch but it has been successful in recent fights. However, Perry possesses a noteworthy quality that sets him apart. He’s absolutely fearless. He embodies the kind of audacity that Paul secretly wishes he had. Perry is the rare individual who genuinely means it when he claims he’s willing to sacrifice everything in the ring.

Therefore, this fight boils down to one thing – Paul’s beginner boxing skills and potential advantage in reach versus Perry’s strong desire to inflict harm upon him. The odds are in favor of Paul’s boxing abilities, according to the experts.

While I have no interest in spending any time with either of these individuals, it would definitely be entertaining to witness Paul being forced into a confrontation he has always avoided. Nevertheless, if I were to make a rational decision, I would side with the bookmakers. Considering Paul’s size and experience, he should be able to maintain a safe distance from Perry and restrain him whenever Perry manages to break through his defenses. Therefore, I predict another uneventful victory for Paul.

Pick: Jake Paul via decision

Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images for Netflix

Amanda Serrano (-4000) vs. Stevie Morgan (+1500)

Back when Tyson was on the card, Amanda Serrano was slated to rematch Katie Taylor here. That bout, a replay of a 2022 “Fight of the Year,” would have made this event worth the price admission and given the show some much needed legitimacy. Serrano is now due to rematch (and potentially avenge her split decision loss) later this year, when Paul is supposed to finally fight Tyson.

Since that Taylor loss, Serrano has owned Sarah Mahfoud, Erika Cruz, Heather Hardy and Danila Ramos to collect (and retain) her undisputed Featherweight titles and pad her record as one of the best women boxers in history.

With the Taylor rematch postponed, Most Valuable Promotions pulled Stevie Morgan out of the local Florida scene. This fight will be at Super Lightweight, a few pounds out from where Morgan usually fights. She’s 8-1 (6 KOs), but she’s never met anyone remotely near Serrano’s ability.

Paul now represents Serrano, strategically utilizing her as a shield against critics who believe his actions are detrimental to boxing. Serrano’s upcoming opponent has been carefully selected to showcase her skills and maintain her momentum until the Taylor fight.

Pick: Amanda Serrano via unanimous decision

Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Ashton Sylvie (-360) vs. Lucas Bahdi (+265)

Like Serrano, Ashton Sylvie is represented by Jake Paul’s Most Valuable Promotions. And he’s pretty good, too. “H20” is 9-0 and he’s out-classed everyone Paul has set up for him to fight. He was recently given the headline slot at Most Valuable Prospects V. At that event, he eased past Estivan Falcao. Before that, he took out tough veteran William Silva with fast hands and some brutal body shots on the Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz undercard (watch those here).

At 30 years old, Lucas Bahdi is 10 years older than Sylvie. He’s 16-0, but has never fought outside of Canada and Mexico. He’s being flown down to Florida to lose, but he’s also the best fighter Sylvie has faced in his young career.

However, it is important to note that the bookies are well aware of their strategies in this situation, as are Most Valuable Promotions.

Pick: Ashton Sylvie via unanimous decision.

Photo by Alejandro Salazar/PxImages/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Shadasia Green (-1400) vs. Natasha Spence (+800)

Shadasia Green is highly ranked across the board at Middleweight. Last time out, “Sweet Terminator” lost to undisputed Super Middleweight champion, Franchon Crews-Dezurn. That was Green’s only professional loss. The last three of her nine professional wins have come on Jake Paul undercards.

Prior to her encounter with Crews-Dezurn, MVP’s Green has showcased her dominance as a power puncher by overpowering the majority of her opponents.

Natasha Spence is 39 (Green is 34) with an 8-4-2 record. She hasn’t won a fight since 2016. I don’t think this will end well for her.

Pick: Shadasia Green via TKO, round 1

Photo by Manuel Velasquez/Getty Images

Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. (-280) vs. Uriah Hall (+215)

Things have not gone well for Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. lately. In 2021, he lost a split decision to Anderson Silva on a card in Guadalajara that was intended to be a celebration of Chavez’s famous father. After losing to “The Spider,” Chavez was publicly dressed down by his dad. He bounced back with a decision win over David Zegarra, but soon after he was making headlines for all the wrong reasons.

In January, Chavez accused his father of beating his mother and conspiring to kill him (along with his ex-girlfriend). Around this time Chavez was also jailed for possessing an illegal and untraceable assault rifle at his California home. Police found the weapon when a 911 call suggested that Chavez may be a danger to himself and others.

Chavez began his rehabilitation program for substance abuse involving drugs and alcohol in March.

Meanwhile, Uriah Hall left UFC in 2022 after back-to-back losses to Sean Strickland and Andre Muniz. His wins prior to that were against Chris Weidman (due to disgusting leg injury) and Anderson Silva (via TKO).

In 2022, he beat former NFL running back, Le’Veon Bell, via unanimous decision after four rounds. Hall easily beat Bell, who has zero boxing skill, but didn’t exert himself or look for a finish.

Chavez Jr. may be the superior boxer in this scenario, but considering the year he’s had, I wouldn’t choose him.

Pick: Uriah Hall via unanimous decision

Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images for Netflix

Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry Prop Bets & Parlays

Here are a few intriguing highlights from this Saturday’s card, headlined by “Paul vs. Perry.”

Jake Paul by Decision or Technical Decision (+250)

A lot of the prop bets I have here are based around my belief that both Jake Paul will be able to earn a decision here and that Perry is too tough to be stopped. Paul is favored to KO Perry by Vegas (-125), but the only stoppages in Perry’s combat sports career are his lone pro boxing bout in 2015 and a head kick from Geoff Neal in 2019. I struggle to believe that Paul will be able to do, with 10-ounce gloves, something many others have failed with four-ounce gloves (or no gloves at all).

Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry to go the distance – Yes (+250)

If, similar to my belief, you think Perry is too resilient to be defeated by Paul, you may find it appealing to place a bet on the fight lasting the full eight rounds. I find this wager favorable because I also have doubts about Perry knocking out Paul. I anticipate Paul will be capable of maintaining distance from Perry and restraining him enough that Perry’s opportunities to unleash his full potential from close range will be scarce, if they even occur.

Mike Perry to Be Knocked Down – No (+120)

The rationale behind this bet aligns with that of the previous two bets.

Two-fight parlay: Ashton Sylve to defeat Lucas Bahdi and Uriah Hall to defeat Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. (+302)

Out of all the fights, only these two have relatively even odds. Ashton Sylve, a skilled boxer, is expected to have a successful fight against his opponent, although the opponent should also be acknowledged. Uriah Hall is considered the underdog in his match against Julio Cesar Chavez Jr., but doubts about the former WBC Middleweight champion’s mental state before the fight raise concerns.

Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry Poll Time

Which of the props and parlays from earlier catches your eye the most?

Have something better than those? Don’t hold back! Share them with us in the comments.

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Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry card right here, starting with YouTube “Prelims” matches, which are scheduled to begin at 7 p.m. ET (and right here). The remaining PPV main card will air on DAZN at 9 p.m. ET.

To check out the latest and greatest “Paul vs. Perry” news and notes be sure to hit up our comprehensive event archive right here.