By the Numbers: MLS Best Bets (6/1)

Hockey is winding down and the footy is in full swing with MLS. The model is cooking and our best bets for today feature both teams to score bets in four separate matches. They are the best bets, and we’ve got got some projected correct score and results bets, too. The Champions League Final kicks the day off in style, you won’t want to miss it.

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Goals, Goals, Goals

Inter Miami/Saint Louis: Both Teams To Score (-185)

Are you a fan of watching Lionel Messi in action? We are too! Inter Miami, with their Barcelona powerhouses Lionel Messi, Luis Suarez, Jordi Alba, and Sergio Busquets, are considered the strongest team in MLS. They have great confidence in their ability to outscore their opponents, so they aren’t concerned about conceding goals. With an average of over two goals per match and conceding just over one goal per match, they are a solid bet. According to our model, Miami is predicted to win with a score of 2.3-1.3. This game will showcase a clash of styles, with Miami playing a high-energy style while Saint Louis prefers a possession-based approach with fewer scoring opportunities. Messi and Suarez are expected to give Saint Louis a tough challenge. If the -185 odds are too enticing, you can consider parlaying it with over 2.5 goals for -130 or with a bet on Messi scoring at any time for +138. Tonight’s match is likely to see Miami’s star players on the field for at least 60 minutes, as it is expected to be Messi’s final MLS game before the Copa America begins.

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Philadelphia Union/CF Montreal: Both Teams To Score (-150)

Montreal has allowed the second highest number of goals in the league this season. However, they have recently shown improvement in their creativity. Their expected goals align with their actual goals, and their attacking unit is starting to come together. On the other hand, Philadelphia has not conceded a goal in their last three matches, but it is unlikely that they will maintain this level of defensive prowess for much longer. While they defend well, it is improbable that they will go almost 300 minutes without conceding. Two consecutive goalless draws make this a risky bet. Nevertheless, according to the model, both teams are expected to score in today’s match and end in a 1-1 draw. Personally, I believe Philadelphia will prevail with a 2-1 victory, and I also agree that both teams will find the back of the net in tonight’s game.

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Vancouver Whitecaps/Colorado Rapids: Both Teams To Score (-185)

It is anticipated that this will be the highest-scoring game of the day, which is not surprising. Vancouver has managed to score in almost all of their MLS matches this season, averaging approximately 1.5 goals per game. They have conceded at least one goal in all but three of their matches, and in five of those, they have allowed 2 or more goals. Colorado is currently tied with Vancouver in the standings with 22 points, setting up an exciting match. Colorado has scored in every game except one this season. Defensively, they have allowed the fourth highest number of goals in the MLS. Vancouver possesses offensive threats in the form of Ryan Gauld and Brian White, while Colorado boasts Rafael Navarro, who is tied with Lionel Messi for the fourth most shots on target in the MLS this season. Given that neither team excels defensively, there is a high likelihood of many goals being scored. The predicted outcome is a draw, which offers good value at +290, or alternatively, both teams are expected to score, with Vancouver likely to win or draw, at odds of -115.

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LAFC/FC Dallas: Both Teams to Score (-105)

LAFC is currently the most successful team in MLS, having won four consecutive matches without conceding a single goal. However, Dallas has proven to be a strong scoring team, finding the back of the net in their last seven matches. According to the model’s predictions, Dallas has a 52% chance of scoring, while LAFC has an 86% chance. Considering the model’s belief, the potential for complacency, and Dallas’ scoring ability against tough defenses, I believe both teams will score in this match. Although LAFC is expected to have a relatively easy victory, with a potential scoreline of 2 or 3-1, it is also worth considering placing a bet on LAFC to win without conceding any goals at +105, if you have doubts about Dallas’ scoring capabilities.

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