Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction & Best Bets (5/30): Pivetta the Pick to Prevail Tonight

Today’s MLB schedule features an intriguing matchup between the Detroit Tigers and Boston Red Sox. The opener of their four-game series is set for 7:10 pm ET on NESN. Both teams aim to end a month of mixed results on a high note.

As May began, the Tigers and Red Sox boasted a decent record of 17-13 each. Yet, regardless of the outcomes in the upcoming two days, both teams are destined to endure a month of losses.

Yesterday, the Detroit Tigers (27-28) split two games with the Pittsburgh Pirates, bringing their May record to 10-15. Meanwhile, the Boston Red Sox (28-28) suffered a 6-1 defeat against Corbin Burnes and the Baltimore Orioles, resulting in an 11-15 record for the month of May.

Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Odds

Odds are via BetOnline, a longtime fixture in the sports betting industry. Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then grab yourself a nice sign-up bonus to bet on Major League Baseball.

Moneyline

• Detroit Tigers +106
• Boston Red Sox -116

Over/Under

• Over 7.5 (+105)
• Under 7.5 (-125)

Run Line

• Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-205)
• Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+175)

Looking for more baseball picks? Our MLB picks page features moneyline, total (over/under), and run line (spread) picks for every MLB game on the schedule each day.

Pitching Matchup for Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox

• Jack Flaherty, a right-handed pitcher for the Detroit Tigers, has made 10 starts this season with a record of 1 win and 4 losses, maintaining an ERA of 3.84.
• RHP Nick Pivetta from the Boston Red Sox has made 6 starts this season, with a record of 2 wins and 3 losses, and an earned run average (ERA) of 4.20.

Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Betting Analysis

Today, my top MLB bet comes from the game taking place in Milwaukee this afternoon. The Brewers are expected to provide Colin Rea with excellent offensive backup yet again, resulting in them scoring more than 3.5 runs against Jameson Taillon and the Cubs.

However, another noteworthy factor in tonight’s game at Fenway Park is a trend that strongly favors the home team.

The trend is not the factor here as both teams have the same 13-14 record in games after a loss.

Despite the Tigers’ 8-12 record as a road underdog and the Red Sox’s 8-13 record as a home favorite, it seems that neither team is significantly affected by this trend.

What is the trend?

Pivetta’s start last Saturday was his shortest of the season, lasting only 3.1 innings in Boston’s 6-3 home loss to the Brewers. During that time, he surrendered seven hits, five runs, and three walks.

It is highly unlikely that there will be a second performance, and it is even more unlikely that the same outcome will occur again.

Pivetta, who became a member of the Red Sox in 2020, has experienced fourteen instances where he allowed five or more runs in a single start out of a total of 85 starts. However, in the subsequent starts that followed these occurrences, the Red Sox have managed to secure nine victories and suffer only four losses. Notably, one of these wins came on May 14 against the Tampa Bay Rays, immediately after Pivetta’s disappointing performance against the Atlanta Braves on May 8 where he allowed five runs in just four innings.

Although I am rooting for the Red Sox to win tonight, I am also expecting Flaherty to maintain his impressive strikeout record. Flaherty has recently achieved nine strikeouts in consecutive games and it is likely that he will strive for a third in a row against a team that has an average of 9.63 strikeouts per game.

Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Best Bets

Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction: Red Sox to win

Tigers vs Red Sox Best Bets: 1) Red Sox ML, 2) Jack Flaherty over 7.5 strikeouts (+120 at Bovada)

More MLB Betting Information

How to Bet on Major League Baseball in 2024

Just like the NFL, NBA, and NHL, Major League Baseball offers various betting options. Moneyline and spread betting, along with over/under betting, are the primary methods to place bets on MLB games.

Futures bets (like Cy Young odds) and prop bets (like strikeout props and batting props) are also one of the most popular ways to bet on the action on the diamond.

Where to Bet on MLB

Many top online sportsbooks offer a wide variety of MLB odds throughout the season.

In addition to being able to make daily MLB picks on games from Opening Day until the final game of the Fall Classic, you can also bet on MLB MVP odds, Cy Young Award odds, and MLB Rookie of the Year odds, as well as World Series odds.

We have thoroughly reviewed multiple sportsbooks and have handpicked a selection that we highly recommend for betting on baseball.

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If you do not have an account at any book listed, we recommend checking out our reviews to assist you in deciding if it is worth your interest and investment.

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If you are new to betting on baseball or wish to become familiar with the various aspects of placing MLB bets, take a look at our comprehensive MLB betting guide.

• MLB Betting Guide: How to Bet on Baseball in 2024

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