Early Monaco GP predictions: The favourite, two teams in the mix and a potential dark horse

As the Monaco Grand Prix approaches, the early forecasts have emerged from the Principality.

After a brief hiatus, the thrill of Formula 1 returns, and this time, it roars back to life at one of the most iconic venues in the sport – Monaco.

Monaco is more than just a race on the calendar; it is a spectacle, a tradition, and arguably the most unparalleled challenge of the season. Despite its numerous idiosyncrasies and obstacles, this iconic street circuit has consistently held its place in the Formula 1 world, attracting enormous crowds who come to witness the unfolding of glamour and drama in the heart of this breathtaking city.

Join us as we delve into the intricate aspects of this eagerly awaited race. We will delve into the unique qualities that make Monaco exceptional, the specific areas engineers will concentrate on to secure a vital advantage, and the teams that are positioned to excel on the narrow and winding roads of Monte Carlo.

The one and only goal at the Monaco GP

When talking about this street race, engineers have only one goal – as much aerodynamic downforce as possible. Drag is almost irrelevant here, given that Monaco is the slowest race on the calendar. This means that even the slower teams might have a chance to surprise if they find that extra downforce boost.

Nevertheless, the primary issue with this track is its failure to adapt to the increased performance capabilities of Formula 1 cars, which have significantly grown in size and speed compared to their earlier versions.

Overtaking becomes a challenging task in Monaco due to the narrow track and larger car dimensions. The limited space available, except for the main straight, makes overtaking extremely difficult despite its relatively short length.

Qualifying in Monaco is the most crucial session on the entire calendar, as the driver who secures pole position will face a relatively easier task of maintaining their position compared to other tracks.

Monaco stands out from other circuits due to its requirement for utmost precision from the drivers. Any lack of complete focus and millimeter accuracy will result in severe consequences, leading to a significant loss of time.

Furthermore, the confined boundaries provide no margin for error, thereby posing a significant risk of prematurely terminating your race.

For the Monaco Grand Prix, Pirelli’s choice of slick tyre compounds falls to the three softest available this year, which means the C3 as Hard, the C4 as Medium and the C5 as Soft.#F1 #MonacoGP pic.twitter.com/yA0il8LERS

— Pirelli Motorsport (@pirellisport) May 21, 2024

Pirelli has opted for its softest tyre compounds, C3, C4, and C5, for this weekend’s race. Due to the track’s low speeds and numerous slow corners, tyre wear is minimal. Barring any rain like last year, we anticipate a one-stop race in Monaco.

Nevertheless, in order to maintain your current position, it is imperative to skillfully schedule your pit stop to avoid trailing slower drivers, as overtaking them later becomes an arduous task.

To put it succinctly, achieving peak performance and flawless precision on Saturday, coupled with a well-crafted strategy on Sunday, can pave the way for a favorable outcome.

How have the teams prepared for Monaco?

As previously stated, the utmost emphasis lies on achieving maximum downforce. Teams will diligently work towards maximizing downforce from all aerodynamic components, disregarding any negative effects such as high drag or turbulent air.

La disposición de las aletas traseras para Mónaco

Rear wing configuration for Mónaco #f1 #monacogp pic.twitter.com/zrQwktkOA6

— Albert Fabrega (@AlbertFabrega) May 23, 2024

By examining the image provided, one can observe the rear wing setups. In contrast to previous races, all participants have chosen the most daring configuration to achieve optimal downforce, eliminating any alternative approaches.

The differentiation between teams will depend on their ability to integrate the high downforce rear wing with other aerodynamic components.

Without a doubt, Red Bull reigns as the top choice in this category. In previous races, we have witnessed their utilization of a more assertive aero package, distinguishing them from other teams. Their exceptional aerodynamic performance enables them to achieve this without incurring excessive drag or compromising maximum speed.

More as we look ahead to the Monaco Grand Prix this weekend

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Red Bull’s status as the favorite is further reinforced by Max Verstappen’s exceptional performance in qualifying.

However, Ferrari and McLaren can mix things up.

In Imola, it was evident that Ferrari, in particular, showcased exceptional speed and stability in slow corners. The introduction of their new upgrade package has certainly enhanced their performance in this aspect. However, this improvement has also resulted in challenges related to achieving maximum speeds on straight stretches.

However, Ferrari fans have reason to have high expectations this weekend as we are racing at a track where good top speed is the least important factor.

Furthermore, the Aston Martin team, who came incredibly close to victory at this location in the previous year, has arrived in Italy with a substantial upgrade package. However, it appears that they have not yet discovered the optimal car settings to effectively harness these new advancements. Nevertheless, if they have managed to uncover some solutions in recent days, they could potentially emerge as an unexpected contender this weekend.

Overall, we can anticipate a highly intriguing confrontation in Monaco.

In this scenario, the proficiency of the driver will be showcased, and it is highly probable that the most accurate driver will also be the quickest.

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