Churchill Downs Picks: 5 Stakes Saturday

The racing action from Churchill Downs on Saturday features the Blame Stakes. Check out our Churchill Downs picks for the entire card!

Full Card Analysis

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Churchill Downs Picks – Race 1

Post Time: 12:45 PM ET; Claiming $31k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 13 runners.

• #6 MISS TAPPY TONE (3-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Love the heart this one shows in a fight.
• #3 SINGSATIONAL (7-2): Contender. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues. Can run with these.
• #1 SHE’S MAGIC (6-1): Contender. Could wear these ones down late. This one’s a fighter in the late stages.
• #5 ALMOND FUDGE (8-1): Fringe Contender. May be getting a weaker field than last out. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint.

Selections: 6 – 3 – 1 – 5

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 2

Post Time: 1:14 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $63k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 11 runners.

• #6 READIER (7-2): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Love the heart this one shows in a fight.
• #3 SECOND SERVICE (8-1): Major Player. Trainer is having a great meet. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
• #5 GUN SHOW (4-1): Major Player. Having this jockey up can only help the chances. Previous success in similar race types.
• #7 RUN JALEN RUN (3-1): Major Player. Fast enough on paper to compete. Jockey is having a great meet.

Selections: 6 – 3 – 5 – 7

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 3

Post Time: 1:43 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $127k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

• #7 BARBRATINA (5-2): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Race sets up perfectly.
• #9 LITTLE JAMIE (6-1): Major Player. Productive recent form. Likely to get forward position.
• #3 PRETTY ANA (6-1): Contender. Trainer, Asmussen, is having a lot of success this meeting. Speed figs match up nicely.
• #2 JUST BASKING (5-1): Contender. Recent races are solid. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 7 – 9 – 3 – 2

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 4

Post Time: 2:14 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 16 runners.

• #3 SOUNDBITE (3-1): Top pick. Proven competitor at this configuration. Stamina to outlast the competition.
• #8 UNION MIST (6-1): Contender. Like this one if a stretch duel ensues. Trainer is having a great meet.
• #7 CHILLED (6-1): Contender. Should sit a good trip.
• #12 BELLS BEACH (7-2): Contender. Potential to get the pace of the race flow. Could be griding down the competition late.

Selections: 3 – 8 – 7 – 12

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 5

Post Time: 2:46 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $127k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 12 runners.

• #11 MINK’S PALACE (7-2): Top pick. Strong early pace figs. Stamina to outlast the competition.
• #10 TWEETSTER (4-1): Major Player. Potentially cycling to a top performance. Good race flow for this runner.
• #12 SABRINA (10-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
• #6 MISS JUSTIFY (8-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 11 – 10 – 12 – 6

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 6

Post Time: 3:18 PM ET; Arlington Stakes $275k; 1 1/16 M Turf; Field of 8 runners.

• #6 CHASING THE CROWN (7-2): Top pick. Shouldn’t have trouble getting the distance. Fits well with this group.
• #5 NORTHERN INVADER (6-1): Major Player. Running well of late. Comes home strong.
• #8 IRISH ACES (15-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types. Has experience at this level.
• #2 EMMANUEL (3-1): Contender. Competitive enough in recent efforts. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field.

Selections: 6 – 5 – 8 – 2

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 7

Post Time: 3:51 PM ET; Aristides Stakes $275k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.

• #3 SKELLY (4-5): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Strong early pace figs.
• #6 BOURBON HEIST (10-1): Major Player. Looks fast enough off previous efforts. Likely to get forward position.
• #1 TEJANO TWIST (5-1): Contender. Previous success in similar race types.
• #4 ANGKOR (4-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Potential to get the pace of the race flow.

Selections: 3 – 6 – 1 – 4

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 8

Post Time: 4:23 PM ET; Shawnee Stakes $275k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 9 runners.

• #7 SCYLLA (5-2): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly. Strong early pace figs.
• #6 XIGERA (2-1): Major Player. Potentially cycling to a top performance. May be able to take advantage of the pace.
• #5 BELLAMORE (8-1): Contender. Has experience at this level. May be able find the right setup.
• #3 WET PAINT (7-2): Contender. Cox is the leading trainer in the standings. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint.

Selections: 7 – 6 – 5 – 3

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 9

Post Time: 4:55 PM ET; Regret Stakes $275k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 10 runners.

• #1 WAY TO BE MARIE (3-1): Top pick. Race may setup for this runner. Favorable class relief in this spot.
• #4 DANCING N DIXIE (7-2): Major Player. Productive recent form. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
• #6 BUCHU (5-2): Contender. Potential to kick home late. May be able find the right setup.
• #9 PIN UP BETTY (15-1): Contender. Recent races are solid. Jockey is having a great meet.

Selections: 1 – 4 – 6 – 9

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 10

Post Time: 5:27 PM ET; Blame Stakes $275k; 1 1/8 M Dirt; Field of 11 runners.

Best Bet of the Card

• #2 HIGHLAND FALLS (5-2): Best bet of the card. Race sets up perfectly. Shouldn’t have trouble getting the distance. Bet today’s best bet with industry leading rebates on BetOnline.
• #6 DREAMLIKE (4-1): Contender. Seems to be up against the right competition. Likely to get forward position.
• #9 CAGLIOSTRO (6-1): Contender. Has been running well enough recently. Previous success in similar race types.
• #3 WAR CAMPAIGN (9-2): Contender. Jockey is having a great meet. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.

Selections: 2 – 6 – 9 – 3

Churchill Downs Picks – Race 11

Post Time: 5:58 PM ET; Audubon Stakes $275k; 1 1/8 M Turf; Field of 10 runners.

• #5 FORMIDABLE MAN (5-1): Top pick. Top 5 rider aboard. Race may setup for this runner.
• #2 CUGINO (7-2): Major Player. Looks to get a bit easier group here. Good race flow for this runner.
• #7 ROCK’N A HALO (10-1): Major Player. Barn has been sending out runners. Previous success in similar race types.
• #9 LAGYNOS (5-1): Major Player. Jockey is having a great meet. Race conditions fit this one well.

Selections: 5 – 2 – 7 – 9

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Monday

• Belmont at the Big A picks featuring the Grade 2 Wonder Again Stakes
• Churchill Downs picks featuring the Grade 3 Winning Colors Stakes
• Santa Anita picks featuring 3 Graded stakes including the Gamely, Hollywood Gold Cup, and Shoemaker Mile Stakes

Saturday

• Churchill Downs picks featuring the 4 Grade 3 stakes races including the Arlington, Blame, Regret, and Shawnee Stakes
• Santa Anita picks featuring the Grade 2 Triple Bend Stakes