Copa America 2024 Final, Argentina vs Colombia: Odds, Prediction & Best Bets

The Copa America tournament has swiftly passed, and while there is a 3rd place match on Saturday, our attention should be on the Title Match scheduled for Sunday. Argentina, led by Messi, will face off against Colombia and James Rodriguez in an exciting South American clash in Florida! Messi will have the advantage of playing on his home turf at Hard Rock Stadium as Argentina aims to secure their 16th Copa America Trophy.

However, Colombia’s track record in the Copa America is not as impressive. They last emerged victorious in 2001, and that remains their sole triumph. Their second-place finish dates back to 1975, with few notable achievements since then. In fact, this is only their third appearance in the Copa America Title Match. Although they have secured multiple third-place finishes, including in 2021 and 2016, it’s remarkable to see them on the verge of clinching the coveted trophy.

Now, it’s time to examine the journey of these teams and how they arrived here!

Road to the Copa America 2024 Final

Argentina’s Path

Argentina has only conceded one goal in five matches of the Copa America tournament. They managed to keep a clean sheet in all three Group Stage matches and, although they haven’t scored three goals in a single game yet, their defense appears to be impenetrable. They effortlessly dominated their group, shutting out all three teams, and are the reigning champions of the 2021 Copa America as well as the anticipated winners of the 2022 World Cup.

• 2-0 vs Canada
• 1-0 vs Chile
• 2-0 vs Peru

In the Quarterfinals, they encountered Ecuador and narrowly progressed on penalties. Furthermore, they faced Canada for the second time in the Semifinals, triumphing over them with a convincing 2-0 victory yet again.

• 1-1 vs Ecuador (PKs)
• 2-0 vs Canada

Argentina is undeniably the team to surpass, but their ultimate challenge awaits them in their upcoming match against Colombia. Despite being the top-ranked team globally, Argentina has only encountered opponents ranked 30th, 31st, 40th, and 48th. On the other hand, Colombia, ranked 12th in the world, has already faced the formidable 4th ranked Brazil and emerged victorious against the 14th ranked Uruguay. Hence, Argentina has yet to face a tougher test in this tournament.

Colombia’s Path

Colombia undeniably faced a challenging journey. They emerged victorious in Group D, accumulating 7 points, including a goalless draw against Brazil, which ensured they only needed a single point to secure the top spot. The Colombian team exhibited remarkable goal-scoring abilities while effectively thwarting their opponents’ advances.

• 2-1 vs Paraguay
• 3-0 vs Costa Rica
• 0-0 vs Brazil

Colombia achieved their desired result with two victories and a draw, securing the top spot in their group. They easily defeated Panama, who narrowly surpassed the United States to claim second place in Group C, but were subsequently overwhelmed by Colombia. In the following match against Uruguay, Colombia faced tough competition and even endured a red card in the first half. However, they emerged victorious after a hard-fought battle.

• 5-0 vs Panama
• 1-0 vs Uruguay

Presently, they have an opportunity to defeat Argentina in the Copa America Final. However, it will prove to be a formidable challenge.

Will Messi Add to His Trophy Collection?

Matchup Information – Argentina vs Colombia

• Event Location: Hard Rock Stadium, situated in Miami Gardens, FL.
• Date: Sunday, July 14th, 2024
• Kick Off: 8:00pm Eastern
• Where to Watch: FOX

Betting Odds

Odds courtesy of BetOnline.

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Money Line

• Argentina +116
• Draw +190
• Colombia +340

Draw No Bet

• Argentina -210
• Colombia +175

Total

• Over 2 (+105)
• Under 2 (-125)

To Lift the Cup

• Argentina -180
• Colombia +155

Will Short Handedness Hinder Colombia?

The Title match against Argentina will be played without Daniel Munoz, who is the starting right back for Colombia. Unfortunately, Munoz received two yellow cards in the semifinals, leading to a red card and his expulsion from the upcoming contest. This absence not only weakens Colombia’s defensive line but also affects their attacking power, considering Munoz’s contribution of two goals and an assist in this tournament. Although Colombia has other players who can create opportunities, replacing Munoz’s productivity combined with strong defense will be a challenge. Consequently, I believe Argentina has the necessary elements to capitalize on this situation.

Despite their offense not being as exhilarating as anticipated, Argentina has consistently scored goals in every match and displays no indications of losing momentum. Lautaro Martinez has successfully netted 4 goals in 5 matches for Argentina in the Copa America, while the team has managed to score in the first half for the past two consecutive matches.

Argentina easily defeated Canada after their close call with Ecuador in penalty kicks. They quickly took the lead, scoring a goal in just 22 minutes, and Messi added another goal in the second half. Considering their opponent’s vulnerable defense, I believe Argentina will exploit this weakness and emerge victorious in this match. It’s worth noting that there is no extra time in the Copa America, and matches go straight to penalty kicks after 90 minutes, although most bets are settled within regular time.

Colombia emerged victorious with a 2-0 triumph over Argentina during the 2019 Copa America’s initial group stage encounter. Fast forward to 2021, and both teams settled for a 2-2 draw in a World Cup Qualifier, with Argentina eventually advancing on penalty kicks following a 1-1 draw in the Copa America semifinals of the same year. Ahead of their upcoming clash on Sunday, Argentina secured a recent 1-0 victory over Colombia in a World Cup Qualifier before ultimately clinching the 2022 tournament. With a rich history between these two nations, all will be settled on the field.

Copa America 2024 Final: Argentina vs Colombia Best Bets

Copa America 2024 Title Prediction: Argentina 1-0 (+500)

Best Bets: Argentina ML (+116) BetOnline

According to the odds, Argentina is expected to win this match, just like they have been dominating the entire tournament. However, Colombia won’t go down without a fight. I predict that the game will remain goalless for the first 60-70 minutes, but eventually Argentina will find a way to score a late winning goal, most likely with Lautaro Martinez leading the way.

During the Copa America Final, three out of the four recent matches have witnessed less than two goals, and Argentina has been involved in all three of them. Notably, they suffered defeats against Chile in penalty shootouts in both 2015 and 2016, following scoreless soccer for 90 minutes. However, in 2021, Argentina secured a 1-0 victory against Brazil. Argentina’s performance has not been dominant, and considering Colombia’s absence of their right back, it is likely that they will adopt a more cautious approach.

In the event that I am mistaken, and the opposition attempts to dismantle Argentina’s defensive formation, they leave themselves vulnerable to a swift counter-attack led by the world’s finest player. Argentina should face no difficulty in maintaining possession, generating numerous scoring opportunities, and naturally, I anticipate Emi Martinez delivering another outstanding performance on the grand stage. Historically, this tournament has always belonged to Argentina, and I foresee them clinching victory within the regulation 90 minutes on Sunday.

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