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Hot dogs are being hammered and fireworks are flying as Thursday marks the Fourth of July in America. A jam-packed day of MLB action is one Independence Day and this year’s schedule features a San Francisco Giants (42-45) vs. Atlanta Braves (47-37) showdown at 7:20 p.m. ET.
Following their loss in the first game against the Giants, the Braves made a comeback and secured a 3-1 victory on Wednesday. Chris Sale showed his dominance by striking out nine San Francisco batters in six innings, earning his 11th win of the year. Austin Riley and Adam Duvall played a crucial role in Atlanta’s win, contributing five hits and driving in all three runs.
Who will emerge victorious in the crucial final game of the series tonight?
In this MLB betting preview, we will delve into the Giants vs. Braves matchup, providing a game prediction and highlighting some of the top bets on offer.
2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 42-48-1 (46.7%)
MLB Betting Today: Giants vs Braves (7/4)
Giants vs Braves Game Information
- Matchup: San Francisco Giants (42-45, 17-26 Away) vs. Atlanta Braves (47-37, 27-15 Home)
- Venue & Location: Truist Park (Atlanta, GA)
- Date: Thursday, July 4, 2024
- Game Time: 7:20 p.m. ET
- How to Watch Giants vs. Braves: MLB.TV, Fubo, MLB Network
Giants vs Braves MLB Probable Pitchers
- Giants: Logan Webb (18 starts — 6-6, 3.12 ERA)
- Braves: Charlie Morton (15 starts — 5-4, 3.89 ERA)
Braves vs Giants MLB Odds & Spread
Braves vs. Giants MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Thursday, July 4 at 10:59 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.
Giants vs Braves Run Line
- San Francisco Giants+1.5 (-180)
- Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+160)
Braves vs Giants Over/Under
- Over 8 Runs (-107)
- Under 8 Runs (-113)
Giants vs Braves Moneyline
- San Francisco Giants (+115)
- Atlanta Braves (-125)
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Giants vs Braves MLB Betting Trends
- In its previous seven away games, San Francisco has recorded a 1-6 straight up record.
- In the previous seven home games against San Francisco, Atlanta has a record of 5 wins and 2 losses.
- San Francisco’s last six games against the NL East saw the Under hit in four of them.
- Atlanta’s last eight home games saw the Under hit in seven of them.
- In six out of the last 10 San Francisco-Atlanta matchups, the total hit below the projected number.
Giants vs Braves Predictions & MLB Picks Today (7/4)
As the 2024 MLB season reaches its midway point, securing a win tonight holds immense significance for both teams. This is particularly crucial for the Braves, who currently hold the top wild-card spot in the National League. A victory would further cement their position in the playoffs. On the other hand, the Giants find themselves three games behind the St. Louis Cardinals, who currently occupy the final NL playoff spot. Thus, a win tonight becomes vital for the Giants’ pursuit of a postseason berth.
The Giants started the series with a victory, but it seems like that was a lucky occurrence. Following their loss yesterday, their record in the last seven road games is now 1-6. San Francisco has been outscored by an average of 1.7 runs per game during this period, and four of those losses were by a significant margin.
Surprisingly, the Giants have the seventh-lowest winning percentage on the road in the Majors this season, standing at 40.5%. In contrast, the Braves rank fifth with a 64.3% success rate at home.
The Braves have been home warriors whereas the Giants have struggled on the road this season.
The Giants may face difficulties in generating offense against Braves right-handed pitcher Charlie Morton, especially after recording only four hits on Wednesday. Morton, a two-time MLB All-Star, has an impressive 3.89 ERA in 15 starts. In his previous outing, he showcased his talent by accumulating seven strikeouts over 6 1/3 scoreless innings in a 6-1 victory against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
In addition, Morton has a flawless record of 1 win and 0 losses, maintaining an impressive 0.83 ERA in his previous three home starts against San Francisco. Furthermore, he has been consistently striking out an average of 9.1 batters per nine innings during these games.
On the other hand, the Giants will be looking for RHP Logan Webb to maintain a steady performance. Despite being one of the top pitchers in MLB this season in terms of innings pitched, Webb has been unfortunate to not secure a victory in his past three starts. However, it is important to note that his 3.60 ERA during this period cannot be solely attributed to his performance, as the Giants have only managed to score a total of 10 runs (averaging 3.3 runs per game) in support.
It should be taken into account that Webb’s performance in his last two starts against the Braves has been subpar, as he has given up nine earned runs and two home runs on 15 hits, resulting in a 7.15 ERA.
Will Giants RHP Logan Webb finally overcome the Braves?
So, who’s winning tonight? I’m going with the Braves at home. The Giants have been nothing short of putrid on the road lately and things could get worse if Webb continues to struggle against Atlanta. With that being said, backing the Braves on the moneyline is the way to go after they essentially silenced the Giants’ bats last night.
Giants vs. Braves MLB Prediction: ATL wins
Best Giants vs. Braves Bet: ATL ML (-125)
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Best Giants vs Braves MLB Player Prop (7/4)
If you’re hungry for a Giants vs. Braves player prop, you’ll want to back Charlie Morton u2.5 earned runs (-139).
Despite fluctuations in his overall performance throughout the year, Morton has delivered exceptional performances in recent games at home. The 40-year-old right-handed pitcher has maintained an impressive 3.15 ERA in his last seven appearances at Truist Park, resulting in the Under on this proposition bet five times. Notably, he has only allowed a single run in his last three home games, spanning 18 1/3 innings.
Morton has a strong track record against the Giants, with the Over winning in 7 out of his last 9 games. This suggests that there is a high probability of him performing well on the mound once again.
Best Giants vs. Braves MLB Prop Bet: Charlie Morton u2.5 Earned Runs (-139)
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