MLB Must Bet Props: Bases, Team Totals & Home Runs | July 19th, 2024

Welcome back! Happy Friday!

I trust you had an amazing break, just as I did. Now, let’s redirect our energy and start the second half with even greater determination.

Let’s kick things off with a few thrilling plays!

Top MLB Prop Bets for Friday’s Slate

Picks in this piece are courtesy of BetOnline. At BetOnline, you can get great odds on all of the top MLB matchups every day.

Write Up Transparency

Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio

Over the past week, my earnings have increased by (+7.2 Units), while over the last month, my profits have risen by (+56.4 Units).

Team Total: Phillies F5 Team Total Over 2.5 (+110)

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The Stank:

There is no alternative method for me to begin the second half of the MLB season, except by initiating my card with a first five inning team total. Absolutely none.

Today, the Phillies boast the highest average hitter matchup rating of the season on Batters-Box.com. They field seven elite hitters and zero poor-rated ones, facing Pirates starter Martin Perez, who ranks third worst among pitchers this season.

Perez’s susceptibility to powerful strikes makes him an easy target for Philadelphia’s strong hitters. The Phillies, known for being the highest-scoring team in the league during the initial five innings, are perfectly positioned to take advantage of this. In fact, Perez has already surpassed this scoring threshold in eight out of his 14 starts this season.

Throughout history, Philadelphia has showcased impressive performance against Perez, collectively achieving a remarkable .317 batting average and an .841 OPS.

Get ready for the Phillies to start swinging and increase our winnings as the second half of the season begins!

Total Bases: Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 (+100)

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The Stank:

The odds for Shohei Ohtani on this proposition are incredibly favorable. Getting plus money for arguably the best hitter in the game? It would be irrational not to seize this opportunity.

Shohei Ohtani, enters today as the highest-rated hitter on both Batters-Box.com ratings. Though his sample size against Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta is small, Ohtani boasts an impressive .444 batting average with four hits, including a double and two home runs in just nine plate appearances.

Out of 102 elite matchups, Ohtani has exceeded the total base prop 58.82% of the time. In this current season, he has surpassed 1.5 total bases in 52.5% of his 40 elite matchups.

Ohtani had a solid .289 batting average and recorded five extra base hits before the all-star break, surpassing this achievement in half of the games he played.

Ohtani has consistently excelled this season against a pitcher who heavily favors fastballs (48%). Take advantage of this trend and place a bet on Ohtani surpassing 1.5 Total Bases.

Sprinkle of the Day: Shohei Ohtani Home Run (+240)

• He hits home runs 25% of the time this season, showcasing his elite performance.
• Over the past three seasons, the elite has hit home runs 31.37% of the time.

Where to find more advanced analytics

When it comes to finding the top matchup ratings for my daily MLB wagers, Batters-Box.com is my trusted online destination. While it may not provide all the answers, it serves as an excellent starting point for my daily baseball bets. In the previous season, I managed to increase my winnings by 98 units with the help of Batters-Box.com. Don’t just take my word for it, you can verify my success by checking out my Action profile @cmarchio.

In addition, I utilize FanGraphs, Statmuse, and ESPN to gather additional statistics that aid in determining whether a player is worth my attention or not.

Good luck this season you psychos!

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