Greetings on this fine Monday, you wonderful individuals! A fresh week has dawned, presenting us with another opportunity to make the most of our time with books.
Today, we are presented with an exquisite lineup of baseball games, and I have discovered a couple of phenomenal plays that can kickstart our week with a thrilling start!
Top MLB Prop Bets for Monday’s Slate
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Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio
We’ve had another fantastic week, finishing with a record of 15-21-0 and gaining +4.6 units. Let’s maintain this momentum and continue our winning streak!
Let’s keep that energy going!
Moneyline: Astros (-115)
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Yordan Alvarez, the Houston Astros’ standout, launches ball into space.
The Stank:
We plan to adopt a similar approach towards the Astros as you did with your closest college friend, disregarding completely their cheating history. Our primary focus is on enjoying ourselves and making profits, rather than concerning ourselves with moral dilemmas.
Today, the Astros take on Kyle Harrison and the San Francisco Giants. Mr. Harrison has a lot on his plate today as he has to face a team with the highest average hitter matchup rating, according to Batters-box.com. The Astros have three elite-rated hitters: Chas McCormick (3rd-best rating of the day), Yordan Alvarez (8th), and Jose Altuve (9th). On top of that, Houston only has two hitters above league average in strikeout rate, giving the Astros a massive offensive advantage.
Taking the mound for the Astros is 24-year-old Spencer Arrighetti, who has displayed resilience in his recent performances. Despite facing challenges throughout the season, he has maintained a 5.79 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP. However, in his last two appearances, he has only allowed one run in a total of 9.0 innings pitched. Despite his struggles this season, he currently holds the second-highest pitcher rating on Batters-box.com. This gives hope that he can perform well against a team that ranks 23rd in first five innings (F5) scoring. Ultimately, the Astros are expected to emerge victorious.
Additional Play: Astros First Five innings Team Total Over 2.5 (+124)
- The success of the Astros in the first five innings is the foundation of my entire handicap.
- In the past five outings, Kyle Harrison has consistently surpassed this number.
- In nine out of Harrison’s 13 starts, he has permitted a team to surpass this figure.
- In terms of first five inning runs, Houston holds the ninth position with an average of 2.62 runs.
Player Prop Bet: Jurickson Profar 1+ Hit (-160)
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The Stank:
Jurickson Profar recording a hit today is the ultimate embodiment of a mispriced player prop, and undeniably oozes irresistible allure.
Jurickson Profar is an MVP contender pic.twitter.com/icHd0v95vJ
— Javier Reyes (@Javiipeno) June 9, 2024
Profar is not only excelling this year, but he is also showcasing one of his finest performances. With an impressive .325 batting average and an OPS of .925, he has rightfully earned a place in the top 10 of Batters-Box.com’s matchup ratings. Today, the Padres outfielder holds the 7th highest matchup rating. Over his last ten games, he has been on an incredible streak, maintaining a .333 batting average and an OPS of .974. This includes an impressive 12 hits and four games with multiple hits.
Going up against Joey Estes, the Athletics starter known for being below average but still capable, Profar has taken the time to analyze Estes’s pitches. This season, Profar has been able to anticipate and successfully hit every pitch thrown by Estes. Considering the circumstances, it would be difficult to overlook a player who has been performing exceptionally well recently just to aim for a hit.
We’re calling a two and a half unit play for Profar to simply get a hit. Get ready to groove!
Sprinkle of the Day: Daniel Vogelbach Home Run (Odds Pending)
- Odds will be well over +600
- Number 2 matchup rating on Batters-Box.com
- I love Danny Burgers
Where to find more advanced analytics
When it comes to finding the top matchup ratings for my daily MLB wagers, Batters-Box.com is my ultimate choice. While it may not provide all the answers, it serves as an excellent starting point for my daily baseball bets. Thanks to Batters-Box.com, I managed to increase my units by 98 last season. Still skeptical? Feel free to verify my claims by checking out my Action profile @cmarchio.
In addition, I rely on FanGraphs, Statmuse, and ESPN for accessing various statistics that assist me in determining whether a player is deserving of my attention or not.
Good luck this season you psychos!
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