MLB Must Bet Props: Sunday Team Totals, Bases & Home Runs

Happy Sunday!

Doesn’t the weekend always seem to fly by? However, let’s maintain that weekend enthusiasm by adding some thrilling accessories from the diamond to energize your day!

Top MLB Prop Bets for Sunday’s Slate

Picks in this piece are courtesy of BetOnline. At BetOnline, you can get great odds on all of the top MLB matchups every day.

Write Up Transparency

Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio

The card from yesterday resulted in a record of 4 wins and 6 losses, resulting in a gain of 0.8 units. However, the write-up did not fare well, with a record of 0 wins and 2 losses, resulting in a loss of 2.0 units.

Team Total: Giants F5 Team Total Over 2.5 (-130)

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The Stank:

I’m doubling down on the Giants to surpass their first five team total prop, especially with Austin Gomber on the mound. Gomber has been serviceable this season with a 4.61 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP, but he’s allowed teams to exceed this mark in ten of his 18 starts. According to Batters-Box.com, Gomber ranks as the second-worst pitcher on today’s slate. He’s prone to giving up a significant amount of hard contact, which the Giants are well-positioned to exploit.

Theory is now 4-1 (+4.3u)

Small sample, but still pretty cool. https://t.co/tAVEfkiJ7E

— Colby Marchio (@C_Marchio2) July 21, 2024

Today, San Francisco arrives with the second-highest average hitter matchup rating. Their lineup includes six exceptional hitters, with only three batters surpassing the league average for strikeouts.

I anticipate the Giants’ offense to flourish early at Coors Field due to the favorable conditions. They are likely to exceed their usual scoring output and recover from their performance yesterday.

Today, we have a promising opportunity to capitalize on.

Total Bases: Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 (-120)

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The Stank:

We should focus on one of the game’s top hitters, Mr. Shohei “Showtime” Ohtani, and place a bet on him to exceed his total base prop. According to Batters-box.com, Ohtani has surpassed this prop 59.62% of the time when considered elite. This information is based on a sample size of 104 ratings.

In his previous ten games, the impressive power hitter has maintained a blazing .342 batting average and an outstanding 1.141 OPS. He has accumulated a total of 13 hits, including seven extra-base hits.

In the upcoming game, Ohtani will be up against Red Sox pitcher Kutter Crawford. Crawford has proven to be a strong pitcher with a 3.04 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP, but he often gives up significant hard hits, which Ohtani can take advantage of. Although Ohtani has never won a game against Crawford, today brings a new chance for him. Throughout the season, Ohtani has consistently excelled at hitting pitches similar to the ones Crawford throws, giving him a favorable advantage.

I’m really excited about the possibility of Ohtani hitting a home run today with odds of (+275). Following the break, he seems ready to hit his first home run after the break.

In Ohtani we trust.

Sprinkle of the Day: Shohei Ohtani Home Run (+275)

• During this season, he hits a home run 25% of the time, making him part of the elite category.
• Over the past three seasons, the elite players have hit home runs 31.37% of the time.
• return for the third consecutive day. It’s necessary.

Where to find more advanced analytics

When it comes to finding the top matchup ratings for my daily MLB wagers, Batters-Box.com is my trusted source. While it may not provide all the answers, it serves as an excellent starting point for my daily baseball bets. Using Batters-Box.com last season, I managed to increase my earnings by 98 units. Still skeptical? Feel free to verify my success on my Action profile @cmarchio.

Additionally, I utilize FanGraphs, Statmuse, and ESPN to gather additional statistics that aid me in determining whether a player is deserving of my attention or not.

Good luck this season you psychos!

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