Phillies vs Cubs MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (7/4)

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It’s Independence Day in the United States, meaning all 30 MLB clubs are in action on Thursday. One of those contests will see the Philadelphia Phillies (57-29) and Chicago Cubs (39-48) wrap up their three-game series at 2:20 p.m. ET.

With a 5-3 triumph over the Cubs on Wednesday, the Phillies secured a dominant 2-0 series advantage. Zack Wheeler showcased his prowess by striking out seven batters in six innings, while Nick Castellanos and Rafael Marchan contributed home runs, propelling Philadelphia to their third consecutive victory.

Can Philly successfully complete the sweep, or will the Cubs manage to end the series on a positive note?

We can find the answers by delving into the current Phillies vs. Cubs predictions and the top MLB wagers.

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 42-48-1 (46.7%)

MLB Betting Today: Phillies vs Cubs  (7/4)

Phillies vs Cubs Game Information

  • Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (57-29, 24-15 Away) vs. Chicago Cubs (39-48, 22-20 Home)
  • Venue & Location: Wrigley Field (Chicago, IL)
  • Date: Thursday, July 4, 2024
  • Game Time: 2:20 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch Phillies vs. Cubs: MLB.TV, Fubo, MLB Network

Phillies vs Cubs MLB Probable Pitchers

  • Phillies: Cristopher Sanchez (16 starts — 6-3, 2.41 ERA)
  • Cubs: Jameson Taillon (13 starts — 4-4, 3.03 ERA)

Cubs vs Phillies MLB Odds & Spread

Cubs vs. Phillies MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Thursday, July 4 at 10:59 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Phillies vs Cubs Run Line

  • Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+130)
  • Chicago Cubs +1.5 (-150)

Cubs vs Phillies Over/Under

  • Over 7.5 Runs (-112)
  • Under 7.5 Runs (-108)

Phillies vs Cubs Moneyline

  • Philadelphia Phillies (-123)
  • Chicago Cubs (+113)

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Phillies vs Cubs MLB Betting Trends

  • The Philadelphia team has won all seven of its previous games against the Cubs.
  • In their previous five home games, the Cubs have recorded a 1-4 win-loss record.
  • In seven out of Philadelphia’s last 10 road games, the total went over.
  • In 14 out of the Cubs’ last 20 games played in July, the total number of hits exceeded the set limit.
  • In five out of the last eight Phillies-Cubs matchups, the total points scored exceeded the set Over limit.

Phillies vs Cubs Predictions & MLB Picks Today (7/4)

The Phillies have caught everyone’s attention as they aim to complete a sweep against the Cubs at Wrigley Field today. So far, Philadelphia has dominated the series, outscoring Chicago 11-7 in the first two games.

The Phillies’ continued success against the Cubs is not a recent development. Wednesday’s game marked the seventh consecutive victory for Philadelphia over Chicago, with an average run margin of plus-3.3. Furthermore, the Phillies have won their last five games at Wrigley Field by an average of 2.6 runs per match.

When it comes to Wrigley, despite the Cubs being the home team tonight, they are still considered the likely underdog. The team led by David Ross has a tendency to struggle under such pressure, evident from their 20-29 record as underdogs this season.

In terms of comparison, the Phillies have recorded a solid 49-23 win-loss record as the favored team in 2024, with a notable 17-11 win-loss record when playing as the favored team on away games.

The Phillies are thriving as road favorites in 2024. 

The Cubs have had a disappointing beginning to this series, as they currently hold a record of 7-12 SU against NL East teams this season. On the other hand, the Phillies have been performing well, winning 14 out of their 22 games against NL Central opponents so far.

If Cristopher Sanchez can provide a strong start, Philadelphia has the potential to maintain this positive trend. Sanchez, an experienced left-handed pitcher, has been incredibly difficult to hit in recent games. He has only allowed seven earned runs on 34 hits in his last 44 1/3 innings pitched, and has not given up a home run. These impressive statistics equate to a remarkable 1.42 ERA in seven starts.

In addition, Sanchez recently pitched a complete game shutout against the Miami Marlins, recording nine strikeouts and conceding only three hits.

However, it’s important to note that the Cubs’ James Taillon is not a mediocre player. In fact, he is currently having his most successful season in the MLB and has maintained an impressive 2.16 ERA in his last four starts. On the other hand, it cannot be ignored that he has struggled in the past against the Phillies, with a disappointing 8.67 ERA in seven career starts.

Will Cubs RHP Jameson Taillon finally find success against the Phillies? 

Based on how this series has gone so far, I predict another Phillies win. Philadelphia has been better than the Cubs both in the last two games and throughout the MLB campaign and likely won’t be slowed down given Taillon’s previous struggles against the former.

I’m also going to ride with the Phillies outright this afternoon. Again, they’re on a seven-game winning streak against the Cubs and haven’t been. tested at Wrigley Field in quite some time. Don’t overthink things.

Phillies vs. Cubs MLB Prediction: PHI wins

Best Phillies vs. Cubs Bet: PHI ML (-123)

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Best Phillies vs Cubs MLB Player Prop (7/4)

With the way he’s been playing throughout the last few weeks, I recommend backing Trea Turner o1.5 total bases (+106) for today’s best Phillies vs. Cubs player prop bet.

Over his past nine games, Turner has been exceptional at the plate, boasting an impressive slash line of .359/.405/.615. He has recorded 14 hits, including four doubles and two home runs. Turner’s outstanding performance has resulted in a total of 24 bases, averaging 2.7 per game. Notably, during this series alone, he accumulated 11 of those bases. It is also worth mentioning that Turner surpassed the expected outcome in seven of these games.

Trea Turner’s impressive track record against the Cubs, with a 6-3 record in their last nine matchups, leads me to anticipate remarkable performances from him on Independence Day 2024.

Best Phillies vs. Cubs MLB Prop Bet: Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+106)

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