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Thursday’s MLB schedule features the Tampa Bay Rays (35-39) and Minnesota Twins (41-33) closing out their three-game series when they collide at Target Field with a 1:10 p.m. ET start time.
Yesterday, the Rays managed to level the series after their defeat in the first game. They secured a 3-2 victory over the Twins, with Randy Arozarena scoring the decisive run due to an error in the 10th inning. Tampa Bay’s reliever, Jason Adam, earned his fourth win of the year in this game.
Will the Rays secure their second consecutive road victory, or will Minnesota have the final laugh?
After successfully winning both of our MLB betting picks yesterday, let’s maintain the positive momentum as we delve into my predictions and best bets for the Rays vs. Twins matchup.
2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 35-34-0 (50.7%)
MLB Betting Today: Rays vs Twins (6/20)
Rays vs Twins Game Information
- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays (35-39, 16-16 Away) vs. Minnesota Twins (41-33, 23-15 Home)
- Venue & Location: Target Field (Minneapolis, MN)
- Date: Thursday, June 20, 2024
- Game Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
- How to Watch Rays vs. Twins: MLB.TV, Fubo, ESPN+
Rays vs Twins MLB Probable Pitchers
- Rays: Zack Littell (14 starts —2-5, 4.24 ERA)
- Twins: Simeon Woods Richardson (11 starts — 2-1, 3.29 ERA)
Twins vs Rays MLB Odds & Spread
Twins vs. Rays MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Thursday, June 20 at 9:59 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.
Rays vs Twins Run Line
- Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (-175)
- Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+155)
Twins vs Rays Over/Under
- Over 7.5 Runs (-118)
- Under 7.5 Runs (-102)
Rays vs Twins Moneyline
- Tampa Bay Rays (+125)
- Minnesota Twins (-136)
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Rays vs Twins MLB Betting Trends
- In the last 12 games, Tampa Bay has a record of 4 wins and 8 losses.
- In the last five home games, Minnesota has a record of 4 wins and 1 loss.
- Tampa Bay’s last seven road games saw the Over hit in six of them.
- In 10 out of Minnesota’s last 15 games against the AL East, the total number of hits fell below the expected amount.
- In 12 out of the last 17 games between Tampa Bay and Minnesota at Target Field, the total score exceeded the set threshold.
Rays vs Twins Predictions & MLB Picks Today (6/20)
The Rays are being closely watched to see if they can take advantage of the momentum gained from yesterday’s victory. However, it may not be as simple as it sounds to win consecutive games.
It has been more than two weeks since the Rays last won consecutive games, with a disappointing record of 4-8 SU during that time. Additionally, they have not won back-to-back games in a series at Target Field since the 2016 MLB season, highlighting the rarity of this achievement.
On the other hand, it is highly likely that Minnesota’s loss yesterday was just a random occurrence. This is evident from the fact that the Twins have been performing exceptionally well, winning 8 out of their last 10 games and securing six consecutive victories with an average run margin of +3.2. It was only in the recent extra innings game on Wednesday that they fell short.
Throughout the year, the Twins have consistently performed well at Target Field. Their home winning percentage of 60.5% ranks 10th among all Major League teams. Additionally, since the middle of May, they have not experienced back-to-back losses in Minneapolis.
The Rays have been racking up victories left and right at Target Field in the last month.
The outcome of the Rays’ success heavily relies on the performance of Zack Littell during today’s game. Although he had a promising start to the year, Littell has struggled to secure a win since May 11, recording a disappointing 0-3 record with a 5.97 ERA in his last six starts. Additionally, his opponents have been highly successful at the plate, with a slash line of .307/.345/.533 against him during this period.
Without mentioning how the 28-year-old allowed three runs and two homers on five hits in his previous visit to Target Field in September 2023, that’s…
In regards to the Twins, a strong performance from Simeon Woods Richardson would be beneficial. In his last start on Wednesday, the former top-100 prospect conceded four earned runs and four walks in four innings. However, the positive aspect for Minnesota is that he holds a 3.60 ERA in four starts at Target Field this season, indicating a high likelihood of a comeback.
It is worth noting that Tampa Bay has a SU record of 23-32 (41.8%) against right-handed teams this season, while Minnesota holds a record of 29-25 (53.7%) in that aspect.
RHP Zack Littell will start for the Rays at Target Field today.
After coming up short yesterday, the Twins will get revenge this afternoon. Minnesota has been great at home and performs well when Woods Richardson takes the mound, going 8-3 SU in his 11 starts thus far. Considering how the Rays struggle to produce when Littell starts (2.2 runs in last 5 starts), I’d be shocked if the Twins don’t get back on track.
With that in mind, we’ll keep things simple with a Minnesota moneyline bet. The Twins’ -136 odds are lower than I’d expect, so don’t hesitate to pounce on that value while you can.
Rays vs. Twins MLB Prediction: MIN wins
Best Rays vs. Twins Bet: MIN ML (-136)
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Best Rays vs Twins MLB Player Prop (6/20)
A pitcher player prop worked for us yesterday, hence why I recommend backing Zack Littell o2.5 earned runs (-110) for the best Rays vs. Twins pick.
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Despite having occasional good performances this season, Littell has also been responsible for exceeding the predicted outcome in seven out of his 14 starts. Interestingly, in his recent appearances, the predicted outcome has been exceeded in five out of six games, with Littell giving up at least three earned runs in each of his last four starts. Additionally, he had surrendered three earned runs when he faced the Twins last year.
Regarding this, Minnesota excels when facing right-handed pitchers, securing the second position in doubles, fifth place in triples, eighth place in home runs, and ninth place in on-base plus slugging percentage.
Despite giving up six earned runs in just two innings less than a week ago, I am quite certain that Littell will continue to struggle.
Best Rays vs. Twins MLB Prop Bet: Zack Littell o2.5 Earned Runs (-110)
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