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At 12:35 p.m. ET on Wednesday, the Cincinnati Reds (35-38) and Pittsburgh Pirates (35-38) will conclude their three-game series at PNC Park.
The Reds sought revenge after their initial loss, and they achieved it with a 2-1 triumph over the Pirates on Tuesday. Nick Lodolo, with his eighth win of the season, skillfully struck out eight batters while allowing only one run. Santiago Espinal’s two-run homer proved to be sufficient for Cincinnati to secure the victory.
Can the Reds capitalize on their recent momentum to secure another victory? Or do the Pirates possess the necessary elements to come out on top and conclude the series?
Although our MLB picks have been underwhelming recently, it is important to remember that tough times are temporary. Let’s put an end to this rough patch as we analyze today’s Reds vs. Pirates match and offer our predictions and top betting options.
2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 33-34-0 (49.3%)
MLB Betting Today: Reds vs Pirates (6/19)
Reds vs Pirates Game Information
- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds (35-38, 17-19 Away) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (35-38, 17-18 Home)
- Venue & Location: PNC Park (Pittsburgh, PA)
- Date: Wednesday, June 19, 2024
- Game Time: 12:35 p.m. ET
- How to Watch Reds vs. Pirates: MLB.TV, Fubo, ESPN+
Reds vs Pirates MLB Probable Pitchers
- Reds: Hunter Greene (14 starts —5-2, 3.61 ERA)
- Pirates: Mitch Keller (14 starts — 8-4, 3.36 ERA)
Pirates vs Reds MLB Odds & Spread
Pirates vs. Reds MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Wednesday, June 19 at 10:20 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.
Reds vs Pirates Run Line
- Cincinnati Reds +1.5 (-193)
- Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 (+168)
Pirates vs Reds Over/Under
- Over 8.5 Runs (+105)
- Under 8.5 Runs (-125)
Reds vs Pirates Moneyline
- Cincinnati Reds (+121)
- Pittsburgh Pirates (-132)
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Reds vs Pirates MLB Betting Trends
- Out of its last 20 games against Pittsburgh, Cincinnati has a record of 6 wins and 14 losses.
- In the last 20 games played in June, Pittsburgh has a record of 13 wins and 7 losses.
- In four out of Cincinnati’s last five road games, the total hit the Under.
- Pittsburgh’s last eight games saw the Under prevail in seven of them.
- In 10 out of the last 14 Cincinnati-Pittsburgh matchups, the total fell below the set mark.
Reds vs Pirates Predictions & MLB Picks Today (6/19)
The outcome of this afternoon’s series finale will reveal the victorious team. Both clubs are in dire need of a win, as they are currently tied for third place in the NL Central. This puts them just one game behind the Arizona Diamondbacks, who hold the National League’s third and final wild card position. Only time will tell who will secure the coveted spot.
We will determine if the Reds have what it takes to win consecutive matches, as they have accomplished this feat only once in their past eight games. During this period, they have a 3-5 win-loss record and had even suffered three consecutive losses before their victory yesterday. The inconsistencies of the Cincinnati team can be attributed to their underperforming offense, which has averaged a mere 2.9 runs in those games.
Recently, the Pirates’ performance hasn’t been much of an improvement, as they have a 4-4 record in their previous eight games. However, it is worth mentioning that they did manage to win three out of four games before their loss to the Reds. Furthermore, Pittsburgh has a 4-2 record as the favored team when playing against other NL Central teams this season, while Cincinnati has a 3-5 record as the underdog in the division.
The Pirates have an advantageous trend on their side as they have emerged victorious in 14 out of their last 20 encounters with the Reds. This includes a solid record of 6 wins and 3 losses at PNC Park since the start of the 2023 MLB season.
The Pirates have done a lot of winning against the Reds — especially at PNC Park.
Today, there is a possibility of a pitching duel that could intrigue baseball enthusiasts as well.
Hunter Greene, the starting pitcher for the Reds, has become a reliable option for the team. In his 14 starts, he boasts a record of 5-2, a 3.61 ERA, and a 1.178 WHIP. Despite a shaky beginning to the season, the second-overall pick in the 2017 draft has proven himself as one of the top pitchers in the National League. In his most recent nine appearances, Greene has been on fire, going undefeated with a 5-0 record, a 3.13 ERA, and an impressive 53 strikeouts in 54 2/3 innings.
Despite that, Greene gave up three earned runs and a home run on five hits in his only career start in Pittsburgh, lasting 3 1/3 innings.
Mitch Keller, a dependable pitcher for the Pirates, has showcased his skills on the mound. Throughout the season, he has consistently performed well, but his performance at home has been particularly impressive. In his last three games at PNC Park, Keller has maintained a perfect 3-0 record and an exceptional 0.83 ERA. Along the way, he has struck out a total of 17 batters.
It is important to mention that in his last four matchups against the Reds, the former MLB All-Star has a record of 1 win and 0 losses, with a 3.32 ERA and 25 strikeouts.
Can Hunter Greene outperform Mitch Keller this afternoon?
I’m taking the Pirates to win at home today. The Reds got the last laugh yesterday, but the fact remains that the Pirates have owned their number the last two seasons. Cincinnati is also struggling to score runs, which could be an issue today since Keller has been near-flawless in his latest home starts.
Regardless of who wins, though, the Under on the 8.5-run total is the way to go. Let’s not forget that the Under is 9-1 in the Reds’ last 10 games as well as 7-1 in the Pirates’ most recent eight. The last 14 Cincinnati-Pittsburgh matchups also averaged 7.8 combined runs with the last three finishing with six or fewer.
With the lack of offensive action witnessed throughout this series, it is unlikely that we will witness any spectacular displays in Pittsburgh.
Reds vs Pirates MLB Prediction: PIT wins
Best Reds vs Pirates Bet: u8.5 Total Runs (-125)
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Best Reds vs Pirates MLB Player Prop (6/19)
As far as the best Reds vs. Pirates player prop goes, I’m fairly confident with backing Mitch Keller u2.5 earned runs (-164).
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Keller’s performance this season has been outstanding, with a 3.36 ERA in his first 14 starts. The Cedar Rapids, IA native has been consistently impressive, allowing two or fewer earned runs in six of his last seven starts. He has also delivered on this performance in each of his last three home games.
Considering that this pitcher has won three out of his four previous starts against the Reds, I doubt Keller will allow a large number of runs today.
Best Reds vs. Pirates MLB Prop Bet: Mitch Keller u2.5 Earned Runs (-164)
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