Reds vs Yankees MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (7/3)

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At 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, the Cincinnati Reds (40-45) and New York Yankees (54-33) will meet at Yankee Stadium for the second game of their three-game series.

Last night, the Reds started the series with a surprising 5-4 victory against the Yankees. Although New York managed to score four consecutive runs, it was not enough as Cincinnati maintained their lead and secured the win. This marked Graham Ashcraft’s fifth triumph of the 2024 MLB season.

Will Cincinnati be able to secure a series victory with a comparable performance tonight, or will New York manage to find a way to win on their home turf in the Bronx?

We will now address these questions and analyze the top MLB bets for tonight’s Reds vs. Yankees game.

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 41-45-1 (47.7%)

MLB Betting Today: Reds vs Yankees (7/3)

Reds vs Yankees Game Information

Matchup: Cincinnati Reds (40-45, 20-22 Away) vs. New York Yankees (54-33, 24-15 Home)
Venue & Location: Yankee Stadium (Bronx, NY)
Date: Wednesday, July 3, 2024
Game Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
How to Watch Reds vs. Yankees: MLB.TV, Fubo, Amazon Prime Video

Reds vs Yankees MLB Probable Pitchers

Reds: Andrew Abbott (16 starts — 7-6, 3.41 ERA)
Yankees: Carlos Rodon (17 starts — 9-5, 4.42 ERA)

Yankees vs Reds MLB Odds & Spread

Yankees vs. Reds MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Wednesday, July 3 at 10:06 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Reds vs Yankees Run Line

Cincinnati Reds +1.5 (-130)
New York Yankees -1.5 (+110)

Yankees vs Reds Over/Under

Over 8.5 Runs (-122)
Under 8.5 Runs (+102)

Reds vs Yankees Moneyline

Cincinnati Reds (+160)
New York Yankees (-175)

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Reds vs Yankees MLB Betting Trends

In the past nine games against the AL East, Cincinnati has a record of 2 wins and 7 losses.
In their previous 14 matches against Cincinnati, the Yankees have secured victory in 10 games.
In six out of Cincinnati’s last nine games, the total exceeded the Over.
In five out of the Yankees’ last six home games, the total exceeded the Over.
In four out of the last six Reds-Yankees matchups, the total scored surpassed the Over line.

Reds vs Yankees Predictions & MLB Picks Today (7/3)

This series definitely didn’t kick off as the Yankees had hoped. A disappointing start resulted in New York losing the game, with starting pitcher Luis Gil being forced to leave the mound after giving up four earned runs and a home run on only two hits in four innings.

Despite their recent loss, the Yankees need to shift their attention towards finding a way to break free from their current slump. Over their past 15 games, they have only managed to win 4 out of 11 matchups, with a disappointing record in their last six games at Yankee Stadium. This unfortunate streak has resulted in their drop from the top spot in the American League to third place, surrendering the coveted No. 1 AL East seed to the Baltimore Orioles.

Recently, the Reds have been experiencing more losses than victories, with a 4-6 SU record in their past 10 games. Additionally, they hold a 10-11 SU record against AL clubs this season. On the other hand, the Yankees have been more successful when facing NL teams, boasting a 13-11 SU record.

Despite the Reds’ victory last night, it is uncertain if it was merely a lucky occurrence. Cincinnati’s track record against New York is not impressive, with a 4-10 record in their last 14 games, and they have lost six out of their last nine visits to the Bronx.

Can the Yankees buck their slump with a win against the Reds tonight?

The Reds have struggled to achieve upsets this season, particularly when playing away from home. In 33 games as the underdog on the road, Cincinnati has only managed a 12-21 record (36.4%). On the contrary, the Yankees have been dominant as the favored team at home, boasting a 23-13 record (63.9%) in 2024.

The Yankees have a record of 11-6 when Carlos Rodon starts a game this season. However, the former two-time MLB All-Star has been struggling recently, losing all three of his last appearances with an astonishing 13.17 ERA (no, that’s not a typo), and failing to pitch more than five innings in each outing.

In June, Reds’ southpaw pitcher Andrew Abbott displayed exceptional performance. The former UVA player delivered five impressive starts, achieving a record of 4 wins and 1 loss with a commendable 3.71 ERA. Moreover, Abbott recorded an impressive 26 strikeouts in a total of 26 2/3 innings pitched.

It is important to mention that New York has a record of only 10-12 SU against left-handed pitchers this season.

Will Reds LHP Andrew Abbott pull off the upset against the Yankees tonight?

I expect the Reds to put up a fight after last night, but let’s take the Yankees to win. Aaron Boone’s club is due to get back on track and I could see that coming if they build off the momentum stemming from their four unanswered runs last night.

With that being said, it might be an ugly game, so take the Over on the 8.5-run total. Not only is the Over 6-3 in Cincinnati’s nine previous games, but it’s also 7-0 in the Yankees’ last seven outings. It’s also 4-2 in the last six Reds-Yankees tilts, averaging a combined 9.8 runs per game.

Given the Yankees’ 42-26-2 record as favorites, it is quite conceivable that today’s game will result in a high-scoring affair.

Reds vs. Yankees MLB Prediction: NYY wins

Best Reds vs. Yankees Bet: o8.5 Total Runs (-122)

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Best Reds vs Yankees MLB Player Prop (7/3)

As for my Reds vs. Yankees player prop pick of the day, I suggest taking Carlos Rodon u6.5 total strikeouts (-130).

Rodon’s career has been marked by numerous strikeouts, but it seems that his advancing age is starting to have an impact. Over the past couple of months, the 31-year-old left-handed pitcher has experienced a decline in his strikeout numbers, averaging only 5.4 strikeouts in his last nine starts. This has resulted in the Under prediction being correct six times. Additionally, in his six starts at Yankee Stadium this season, the Under has prevailed in four out of six games.

Despite not being the most successful team in terms of hitting the ball this season, the Reds managed to record only 217 strikeouts in June, ranking 13th lowest in the Majors. Taking into account Rodon’s recent difficulties, I have a strong belief in the Under for tonight’s game.