WNBA Championship Odds: Healthy Aces Remain the Team to Beat

Following their intense battle for the WNBA title in the previous season, the Las Vegas Aces and New York Liberty emerged as the top contenders for the championship in the 2024 season. As the season reaches its midway point, both teams continue to dominate the league standings.

The New York Liberty (15-3) will have a break from games until the Atlanta Dream comes to Barclays Center on Sunday (1:00 pm ET, ESPN). Regardless of any outcomes prior to that, the Liberty will maintain at least a tied record for the best in the league with the Connecticut Sun (13-3). The Sun will be playing against the Washington Mystics tomorrow and hosting the Dream on Friday.

Despite having almost two-thirds of the regular season left, the Aces (8-6) have already accumulated the same number of losses as their entire 2023 regular season, where they had an impressive record of 34-6.

Nevertheless, there is a possibility of a successful streak approaching for the WNBA’s two-time reigning champions. This is mainly due to the formidable foursome they possess, consisting of A’ja Wilson, Jackie Young, Kelsey Plum, and a fully recovered Chelsea Gray.

Is it possible that the Aces and Liberty will face each other in the WNBA Finals for the second consecutive year? There is a good chance that could happen. However, the Sun (13-3), Lynx (13-3), and possibly the Seattle Storm (10-6) or even the Phoenix Mercury (8-8) might have something to say about that when September and October roll around.

Currently, the most favored teams in the WNBA championship odds at BetOnline are the finalists from last season. BetOnline is renowned for being one of the top online sportsbooks for betting on the WNBA. In addition to offering odds for each game and predicting the championship winner, they provide odds for the Rookie of the Year and MVP titles, win totals, and the probability of making or missing the playoffs. Moreover, they also offer same-game parlays, a rising trend in betting on various leagues and sports such as the WNBA and NBA.

Odds to Win the 2024 WNBA Championship

2024 WNBA championship odds are courtesy of BetOnline, a longtime fixture among the top online sports betting sites. Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then bag a big bonus (100% if your first deposit is with Bitcoin, Ethereum, or another cryptocurrency) to bet on Sunday’s WNBA games.

• Las Vegas Aces +150
• New York Liberty +180
• Connecticut Sun +650
• Minnesota Lynx +650
• Seattle Storm +1000
• Phoenix Mercury +2000
• Dallas Wings +8000
• Atlanta Dream +8000
• Indiana Fever +10000
• Chicago Sky +25000
• Los Angeles Sparks +40000
• Washington Mystics +50000

Who Are the Favorites to Win the WNBA Title This Season?

Las Vegas Aces (+150)

Without Gray, life became incredibly difficult for the Aces. Initially, they had a promising record of 5-2, but unfortunately, they experienced a downward spiral, losing three consecutive matches and four out of five, causing their overall record to plummet to 6-6.

Gray made a timely comeback, assisting the champions in defeating the Storm by 11 points. Although she didn’t have the same influence in the next game, it wasn’t necessary, as the Aces easily defeated the Sun by the same margin.

Can we consider this as the beginning of a strong pre-Olympic period? To say the least, the schedule appears to be quite advantageous.

Except for a matchup in Seattle on July 10th, the Aces will be facing teams from the lower half of the league before the break. This includes two games against the Chicago Sky on June 27th and July 16th, three games against the Washington Mystics on June 29th, July 4th, and July 14th, as well as single games against the Indiana Fever on July 2nd, Los Angeles Sparks on July 5th, Dallas Wings on July 7th, and the Dream on July 12th.

Although they are currently five games behind the Liberty in the standings, a successful 10-0 or 9-1 run in the upcoming stretch has the potential to substantially reduce the gap.

New York Liberty (+180)

So far this season, the Lynx have been dominant over the Liberty, defeating them in both the WNBA Commissioner’s Cup final on Tuesday and a regular season game last month.

Regarding the other teams in the league, the Liberty have a perfect 3-0 record against the Aces, Sun, and Storm. Additionally, they have secured victories at both Michelob Ultra Arena and Mohegan Sun Arena.

Over the upcoming weeks, the Liberty will have several chances to prove they are championship contenders and potentially surpass the Aces as the team to beat. Before the Olympics break, the Liberty will face the Sun at home (7/16) and away (7/10), followed by hosting the Lynx next Tuesday.

Connecticut Sun (+650)

The Sun, who had a successful start to the season with nine consecutive wins and 13 victories out of 14 games, have recently faced back-to-back losses against the Aces and Storm, both by a significant margin.

Should this Connecticut team’s potential to secure the franchise’s first WNBA championship raise concerns?

It is important to mention that the Sun have struggled in their three most challenging games, and they narrowly defeated the Lynx at home in overtime with two late free throws. Their record of 11-0 against teams with a below .500 record and 2-3 against teams at .500 or above may not be the most impressive, but they still have a chance to prove themselves against the Aces or Liberty in the postseason with the remaining schedule providing ample opportunities.

The Sun and the Lynx are both strong contenders for the title of the best defensive team in the WNBA. However, the question remains: will their defensive prowess hold up in crucial moments? Moreover, can they generate enough points to capitalize on their defensive strength, especially on days when their performance is not at its peak? The upcoming matches against the Liberty, who excel in scoring (88.1 PPG) and field goal percentage (45.7%), will serve as a good test to assess these factors.

Minnesota Lynx (+650)

The Sun’s scorching beginning to the season has attracted significant recognition, and the Liberty currently hold the top spot in the league standings.

However, among all the teams, the Lynx have shown the most improvement and have left a lasting impression. After experiencing consecutive losing seasons, they were not predicted to be a strong contender this year. Nevertheless, with the acquisitions of Alanna Smith and Courtney Williams, a renewed focus on defense, and the consistent performance of Napheesa Collier, the Lynx have emerged as serious championship contenders. This was evident even before their successful triumph against the Liberty in the Commissioner’s Cup.

Out of the three games they have lost this season, two occurred on the road and were decided by a single point in the closing seconds. The remaining loss took place at home against the Aces. On the other hand, most of their victories have been dominant, with only two of them being won by a margin of less than ten points.

Minnesota has a record of 6-2 against the Aces (1-1), Liberty (2-0), Sun (0-1), and Storm (3-0) with notable road victories against the Aces, Liberty, and Storm. Notably, they also secured the Commissioner’s Cup win over New York.

Will they be able to maintain their performance and compete for the best record in the WNBA this season? They will be playing against the Liberty (on the road), Sun (at home), and Storm (on the road) before the break. Additionally, they have consecutive games against the Aces, both at home and away, shortly after play resumes. Can they achieve a positive result in these five games? If they do, their chances of winning the WNBA championship may increase and potentially surpass those of the Sun.

Is the Aces’ Three-Peat Trek Back on Track?

In order for it to return to its previous course, it must have deviated from it. Did that happen? The occurrence of six early losses suggests so, but the fact that they have secured consecutive championships and have a solid foundation implies that they have accumulated some stability and progress.

Certainly, witnessing their challenges, particularly in terms of defense, was quite remarkable (undoubtedly a delightful experience for fans whose teams have been heavily impacted by the Aces in the past few years). However, with Gray returning to the team, we might be on the verge of witnessing the champions dominating their opponents and proving that they are exactly who we believed them to be, and even exceeding our expectations.

Should the Storm or Mercury Be Considered Contenders?

Is there a possibility for a team other than the Aces, Liberty, Lynx, or Sun to emerge as a contender?

Seattle is the most probable option. Following the addition of Nneka Ogwumike and Skylar Diggins-Smith during the offseason, the Storm (10-6) have already exceeded their previous season’s win count. Last year, they achieved a record of 9-31 after the departure of Breanna Stewart and Sue Bird.

The Storm have a record of 2-5 against the Aces (1-1), Liberty (0-1), Sun (1-0), and Lynx (0-3), losing all five games by a margin of nine or more points. Therefore, they have yet to establish themselves in the top tier.

If Diggins-Smith (41.6% FG for her career, 39.7% FG this season), Jewell Loyd (40.4% FG and 35.2% 3PT for her career, 33.7% FG and 22.9% 3PT this season), and Ezi Magbegor (52.2% FG for her career, 48.4% FG this season) can improve their shooting percentages, the Storm have the potential to make a strong push.

Is it possible for the Mercury to become a factor? Phoenix had a disastrous game against the Sun on May 28, resulting in a 70-47 loss, which could be considered the worst performance of the season. However, they have also managed to secure victories against strong teams like the Aces, Liberty, Lynx, and Storm. With a talented roster including Brittney Griner, Kahleah Copper, Diana Taurasi, and Natasha Cloud, the Mercury have the potential to cause trouble for any playoff contender.

WNBA Champions by Year

• 2023: Las Vegas Aces
• 2022: Las Vegas Aces
• 2021: Chicago Sky
• 2020: Seattle Storm
• 2019: Washington Mystics
• 2018: Seattle Storm
• 2017: Minnesota Lynx
• 2016: Los Angeles Sparks
• 2015: Minnesota Lynx
• 2014: Phoenix Mercury
• 2013: Minnesota Lynx
• 2012: Indiana Fever
• 2011: Minnesota Lynx
• 2010: Seattle Storm
• 2009: Phoenix Mercury
• 2008: Detroit Shock (now Dallas Wings)
• 2007: Phoenix Mercury
• 2006: Detroit Shock
• 2005: Sacramento Monarchs (defunct)
• 2004: Seattle Storm
• 2003: Detroit Shock
• 2002: Los Angeles Sparks
• 2001: Los Angeles Sparks
• 2000: Houston Comets (defunct)
• 1999: Houston Comets
• 1998: Houston Comets
• 1997: Houston Comets

Other WNBA Betting Information

Where to Bet on the WNBA This Season

This season, the availability of WNBA odds has expanded greatly, thanks to the increasing popularity of the WNBA and women’s basketball.

In addition to offering odds on each game on the schedule, many sportsbooks also offer a variety of WNBA futures odds, such as championship winner odds like the ones seen above, WNBA MVP odds, WNBA Rookie of the Year odds, win total odds, and more.

There are plenty of sports betting sites you can choose from that are good for WNBA betting. In addition to BetOnline, here are several books that we have reviewed and highly recommend:

• BetDSI (review)
• BetUS (review)
• Bookmaker (review)
• Bovada (review)
• MyBookie (review)
• Sportsbetting.ag (review)

If you don’t have an account at a book on this list, you can check out our reviews to assist you in deciding whether it is worth your interest and your betting funds.

Interested in Learning More About WNBA Betting?

Looking to learn more about the ins and outs of betting on the WNBA? Check out our WNBA betting guide. Also, if you’d like to learn more about betting on WNBA player prop bets, our NBA player props guide is a handy resource to utilize.

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