Yankees vs Mets MLB Subway Series Predictions & Picks (6/25)

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The first half of the 2024 MLB Subway Series commences on Tuesday as the New York Yankees (52-28) are set to travel to Citi Field to face the New York Mets (37-39) at 7:10 p.m. ET.

The Yankees’ recent downfall persisted throughout the week, as they suffered a 3-1 defeat to the Atlanta Braves on Sunday. In contrast, the Mets are aiming to secure a consecutive win, following their impressive 5-2 triumph against the Chicago Cubs two evenings ago.

Who will emerge victorious in the latest installment of the notorious Subway Series?

We will now delve into my MLB predictions and best bets regarding the Yankees vs. Mets matchup. Let’s discuss this in detail.

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 37-40-0 (48.1%)

MLB Betting Today: Subway Series Game 1 (6/25)

Yankees vs Mets Game Information

Matchup: New York Yankees (52-28, 28-14 Away) vs. New York Mets (37-39, 18-23 Home)
Venue & Location: Citi Field (Queens, NY)
Date: Tuesday, June 25, 2024
Game Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
How to Watch Yankees vs. Mets: MLB.TV, Fubo, TBS

Yankees vs Mets MLB Probable Pitchers

Yankees: Gerrit Cole (1 start — 0-0, 4.50 ERA)
Mets: David Peterson (5 starts — 3-0, 3.97 ERA)

Mets vs Yankees MLB Odds & Spread

Mets vs. Yankees MLB odds are courtesy of Bovada as of Tuesday, June 25 at 10:27 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Yankees vs Mets Run Line

New York Yankees -1.5 (+112)
New York Mets +1.5 (-132)

Mets vs Yankees Over/Under

Over 8.5 Runs (-104)
Under 8.5 Runs (-116)

Yankees vs Mets Moneyline

New York Yankees (-138)
New York Mets (+127)

How to Bet on 2024 MLB Season

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Yankees vs Mets MLB Betting Trends

In their previous 20 road games, the Yankees have achieved a solid record of 15 wins and 5 losses.
In their previous five home games, the Mets have maintained a perfect record of 5-0.
In four out of the Yankees’ last five games, the total surpassed the Over.
In four out of the Mets’ last six games against the AL East, the total went over.
In five out of the last seven Yankees-Mets matchups, the total fell below the expected number of runs scored.

Yankees vs Mets Predictions & MLB Picks Today (6/25)

Despite the standings showing that the Yankees are still among the top teams in MLB, their recent performance has not given off the same impression.

The 2024 Subway Series starts off on a challenging note for the Bronx Bombers as they have struggled in their recent games, winning only two out of their last eight. This rough patch has caused them to be tied with the Cleveland Guardians for first place in the American League, even though they were leading not too long ago.

During that period, the Yankees’ struggles mainly stemmed from their inability to stop the opposing team’s offense, as they allowed an average of 7.1 runs per game.

On the other hand, the Mets have emerged as a formidable team in baseball. Despite a challenging beginning to the season, Carlos Mendoza’s team is on the brink of reaching the .500 mark, with only two victories separating them. In their past 17 games, they have achieved an impressive 13-4 record, boasting a leading winning percentage of 71.4% in the Majors.

The Mets have been flying high throughout June, winning 13 of their last 17 games.

Tonight’s game also signifies the Mets’ comeback to Citi Field, where they have triumphed in five consecutive games with an average run margin of plus-3.4. However, it is essential to acknowledge the Yankees’ impressive record of winning 15 out of their last 20 away games and maintaining a 9-3 SU record against the National League in 2024.

On the other hand, the Mets have a disappointing record of 5-10 SU when facing AL teams this season.

The Yankees have a keen interest in observing Gerrit Cole’s performance in his second start of the year. In his previous outing against the Baltimore Orioles, he conceded two earned runs on three hits over four innings. The reigning AL Cy Young winner’s most recent encounter was with the Mets on June 14, 2023. In that game, he struck out eight batters and allowed only one run, but unfortunately, the Yankees suffered a 4-3 loss.

In the meantime, David Peterson from the Mets has been performing well, boasting a solid start with a 3-0 record and a 3.97 ERA in four appearances. However, the 28-year-old left-handed pitcher has faced difficulties in his last two starts against the Yankees. In those games, he conceded five earned runs, including a home run, and issued four walks, all within a mere 4 1/3 innings.

Yankees RHP Gerrit Cole needs a bounce-back performance after looking fairly average in his 2024 debut.

Even though luck hasn’t been on their side lately, I’m taking the Yankees to open the Subway Series with a win. They’re due to bounce back and I see that happening tonight against Peterson, who’s only had nightmare starts against the Bronx Bombers. Besides, the Mets are just 2-4 SU in the last six games against their crosstown rivals.

With that being said, we’ll stick with a Yankees moneyline bet before turning our attention to the best prop.

Yankees vs. Mets MLB Prediction: NYY wins

Best Yankees vs. Mets Bet: NYY ML (-138)

Get 50% up to $1,000 on your Yankees vs. Mets MLB predictions today at BetOnline

Best Yankees vs Mets MLB Player Prop (6/25)

If you’re seeking a Yankees vs. Mets player prop for this evening, I suggest targeting Aaron Judge o1.5 total bases (-104).

Judge’s performance this year has been exceptional, and he has continued to improve as time goes on. As the current leader in home runs in the MLB, he has a batting average of .327, an on-base percentage of .422, and a slugging percentage of .764 in his last 15 games. In addition, he has accumulated 18 hits and seven home runs, resulting in a total of 42 bases (an average of 3.0 per game). Impressively, he achieved the Over in eight of those games.

Furthermore, Judge has a strong affinity for competing against the Mets. In his previous six matchups against this National League rival, the seasoned 32-year-old hitter accumulated an impressive 23 total bases. Notably, he surpassed the expected outcome in four of these games, achieving a remarkable eight hits, including five home runs, resulting in a batting average of .348.

Despite the Yankees’ struggles, you can still have confidence in Judge’s ability with this prop.

Yankees vs Mets MLB Subway Series Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (6/25)