Yankees @ Orioles: MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (7/12)

We did it, we made it to Friday. It’s the best day of the week and the vibes could not be higher. We’re taking a trip to Camden Yard where we’ve got a divisional battle in the between the Yankees and the AL East leading, Orioles.

Here are our best bets for the Yankees vs. Orioles!

  • Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-120) BetOnline
  • New York Yankees TT o4.5 (-110) BetOnline
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Yankees @ Orioles Game Information

The Yankees have struggled against their own division this year, going just 14-18 so far.

Matchup Information

  • Location: Camden Yards; Baltimore, MD
  • Date: Thursday, July 12th, 2024
  • First Pitch: 7:06 PM EST

Pitching Matchup

  • New York Yankees: Gerrit Cole (116.75 ERA)
  • Baltimore Orioles: Cade Povich (136.51 ERA)

Betting Odds

Odds via BetOnline, an industry leader in the sports betting world.

Run Line

  • New York Yankees -1.5 (+130)
  • Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (-150)

Money Line

  • New York Yankees (-124)
  • Baltimore Orioles (+114)

Total

  • Over 9 (+100)
  • Under 9 (-120)

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Yankees @ Orioles Analysis & Breakdown

The Orioles have taken the lead from the Yankees for the AL East and don’t show any signs of slowing down.

The Yankees started the season on fire, winning 51 of their first 75 games of the year. Since then, they’ve lost 16 of their next 21 games and have lost their grip on 1st place in the AL East.

It has been a span of 10 days since Aaron Judge last hit a home run, coinciding with the New York Yankees’ unfortunate record of losing 7 out of 9 games. The performance of starting pitcher Gerrit Cole has been quite underwhelming, to say the least, with only 4 starts this season.

Cole’s got a 6.75 ERA on the season and he’s given up 5 home runs in just 4 starts. He’s allowing lefties to hit 0.310 this season and the O’s have got some big left handed bats.

When it comes to the O’s, they have decided to go with rookie pitcher Cade Povich. So far, he has a record of 1 win and 3 losses in 6 starts, accompanied by a 6.51 ERA and 6 home runs given up.

Povich has faced off with the Yankees once before, going 4.2 innings and finishing with a 1.93 ERA; giving up just 1 hit and 1 earned run.

It seems like it was a big of a lucky start for Povich in their last one. Despite giving up just the 1 run, he surrendered 5 walks, and recorded just 1 strikeout. Oh, and Judge wasn’t active for that one. We know what Judge does to lefties.

Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-120) via BetOnline – Get a $500 WELCOME BONUS 

Aaron Judge has a 0.305 career batting average in Camden Yards; with 22 home runs in 53 games.

The last time Aaron Judge hit a home run, I was still a young 30 year old. Now I’m 31 and it’s been 10 days since he went ya-ya. The Yankees have been sliding and sliding hard, if they hope to get it together, it all starts with Judge.

Prior to the start of July, Judge was bating 0.316 with 31 home runs and 82 RBI. Since July 2nd, he’s batting 0.200 with just one home run and one RBI.

Judge has struggled against his own division this year, recording a 0.227 batting average and 0.373 SLG; both his worst against any division by far. He’s got just 5 home runs against the AL East, despite playing 31 games against them.

If Aaron Judge was ever due, it’s tonight. He’s got a 0.305 batting average in Camden Yards with 22 home runs in 53 games. He’s got just 1 hit in Baltimore this season and tonight’s the perfect time for that to change.

Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-120) via BetOnline

Bonus Bet: Aaron Judge Home Run (+210) | 2+ Home Runs (+1300)

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New York Yankees  TT o4.5 (-110) via BetOnline – Get a $500 WELCOME BONUS 

The Yankees lead the league in runs, RBI, and home runs on the road. They average 5.3 runs/game on the road this season.

You can’t be surprised, team totals have been good to us so tonight we’re turning to The Bronx Bombers. I can’t emphasize enough how bad they’ve been over the last three weeks but it’s been bad.

They lost a significant lead in the AL East, Cole has looked bad and Judge can’t hit a beach ball. So why are we looking to bet this Yankees team total? It’s this rookie pitcher for the Orioles, Cade Povich.

Although he has had a couple of successful starts at home this season, tonight he is up against the Yankees team, who have lost three consecutive series and are now desperately seeking a victory.

Povich has given up 5+ hits in 5 of his 6 starts this season and he’s given up 5 home runs in his last 3 starts. He’s been pretty bad and tonight he’s seeing this Yankees lineup for the 2nd time this year.

This will mark his inaugural encounter with Aaron Judge, who has not hit a home run since July 2nd. It’s an intimidating situation for a rookie, so I’ll focus on supporting the offense and take the Yankees team total.

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New York Yankees TT o4.5 (-110) via BetOnline

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To Recap, MLB Betting Insights for July 12th, 2024:

In the Yankees vs. Orioles game today, we’re rolling with two plays. Yankees TT o4.5 (-110) via BetOnline and we’re rolling with  Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-115) via BetOnline.

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