Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction & Best Bets (6/14): Will Gil Guide New York to a 50th Win?

Tonight at 6:30 pm ET on ESPN+, Fenway Park will host a three-game series between the Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees, reigniting one of the most significant rivalries in sports for the first time this season.

With a stellar record of 49-22, the New York Yankees dominate the baseball scene as they head into this series. Trailing behind them are the Philadelphia Phillies (46-22), Baltimore Orioles (45-23), and Cleveland Guardians (43-23). Not only do the Bronx Bombers boast the best overall record, but they also hold the title for the top road record in the league at an impressive 27-12.

The Red Sox (35-34) are currently facing some challenges as they find themselves 13 games behind the first-place team. However, amidst a five-series winning drought, they managed to break the streak at an opportune moment by winning two out of three games against the Phillies at home.

Having successfully dealt with the top team in the NL, will Boston be able to repeat the feat against the leading team in the AL?

Tonight’s matchup will include a head-to-head duel between the top two AL Rookie of the Year favorites, Yankees pitcher Luis Gil and Red Sox right fielder Wilyer Abreu.

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New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Odds

These Red Sox vs Yankees odds are via BetOnline, a longtime fixture in the sports betting industry. Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then grab yourself a nice sign-up bonus to bet on Major League Baseball.

Moneyline

  • New York Yankees -150
  • Boston Red Sox +138

Over/Under

  • Over 9.5 (+100)
  • Under 9.5 (-120)

Moneyline

  • New York Yankees -1.5 (-101)
  • Boston Red Sox +1.5 (-119)

Looking for more baseball picks? Our MLB picks page features moneyline, total (over/under), and run line (spread) picks for every MLB game on the schedule each day.

Pitching Matchup for New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

  • Luis Gil, a right-handed pitcher for the New York Yankees, boasts an impressive record with 8 wins and only 1 loss in 13 starts. He currently holds an outstanding ERA of 2.04, accompanied by a remarkable WHIP of 0.93.
  • Brayan Bello, a right-handed pitcher for the Boston Red Sox, has made 11 starts this season, achieving a record of 6 wins and 3 losses. He currently holds a 4.78 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP.

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Betting Analysis

The Yankees secured victories in the first three games of their series against the Kansas City Royals, but unfortunately, they suffered a walk-off defeat in Thursday’s series finale.

Alec Marsh held them scoreless for seven innings, but in the eighth, they managed to score three runs and take a 3-2 lead. Clay Holmes pitched well in the ninth, getting two outs, but a single by Kyle Isbel prolonged the game. With runners on first and third, Maikel Garcia stepped up and hit a crucial two-run double, leading the Royals to a 4-3 victory.

That prevented the Yankees from picking up their 50th win, but they are unlikely to have to wait too long to do so.

The AL East leaders have a record of 14-7 (.667) for the season when playing games after a loss. This places them in fourth position among MLB teams, trailing the Phillies (16-5, .762), Orioles (16-6, .727), and Guardians (15-7, .682).

The Yankees have an impressive record of 18-8 (.692) when playing as the favored team on the road, placing them in sixth position among all MLB teams. Out of the ten teams that have been given the favorite status in 15 or more away games, the Yankees hold the second spot.

The Red Sox have a decent record of 6-4 (.600) as underdogs at home, ranking them sixth in MLB. However, their performance of 17-17 (.500) in games following a win is not very motivating, especially when facing the top team in the league tonight.

In addition, they will be facing off against Gil, one of the league’s top pitchers. Although he gave up three runs in 5.2 innings during his last Sunday’s game against the Dodgers, it was only the third occasion this season where he allowed three or more runs.

Season Splits for Luis Gil

  • In the comfort of their own stadium, the team has achieved an impressive record of 5 wins and 0 losses. Their pitcher boasts an exceptional ERA of 1.58, showcasing their outstanding performance on their home turf. Additionally, their WHIP stands at a commendable 0.88, indicating their ability to limit the number of opposing players reaching base. Furthermore, the team has managed to hold their opponents to a mere .125 batting average, demonstrating their strong defense at home.
  • In away games, the player has achieved a record of 3 wins and 1 loss, with an ERA of 2.57, a WHIP of 1.00, and an opponent batting average of .151.

The 26-year-old has shown great resilience in his next start after the last two instances.

On April 15, he suffered a loss in Toronto after giving up three runs in five innings. However, on April 21, he bounced back and secured a win against the Tampa Bay Rays. In that game, he only allowed two hits, one unearned run, and struck out nine in 5.2 innings. Despite a challenging performance in Milwaukee on April 26, where he conceded season highs in hits, runs, and homers, he redeemed himself on May 1 in Baltimore. In that game, he pitched six shutout innings and only surrendered two hits and a walk, resulting in a victory.

Although the betting value may not be exceptional in this situation, there is only one viable option, especially considering Bello’s recent poor performance. He has given up nine runs, 17 hits, and six walks in 11 innings across two starts this month.

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Best Bets

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction: Yankees to win

Yankees vs Red Sox Best Bets: Yankees ML (-150 at BetOnline) & Red Sox team total under 3.5 runs (+105 at Bovada)

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More MLB Betting Information

How to Bet on Major League Baseball in 2024

Similar to the NFL, NBA, and NHL, Major League Baseball offers multiple avenues for betting. The primary methods include moneyline betting, spread betting, and over/under betting.

Futures bets (like Cy Young odds) and prop bets (like strikeout props and batting props) are also one of the most popular ways to bet on the action on the diamond.

Where to Bet on MLB

Many top online sportsbooks offer a wide variety of MLB odds throughout the season.

In addition to being able to make daily MLB picks on games from Opening Day until the final game of the Fall Classic, you can also bet on MLB MVP odds, Cy Young Award odds, and MLB Rookie of the Year odds, as well as World Series odds.

We have thoroughly reviewed numerous sportsbooks that are excellent choices for betting on baseball, and we highly recommend the following books:

  • BetDSI (Review)
  • BetOnline (Review)
  • BetUS (Review)
  • Bovada (Review)
  • Everygame (Review)
  • MyBookie (Review)

If you do not have an account with a book on this list, we recommend reading our reviews to assist you in deciding whether it is worth your interest and investment.

Interested in Learning More About Betting on Baseball?

If you are new to baseball betting or wish to familiarize yourself with the finer details of placing MLB bets, we recommend referring to our comprehensive MLB betting guide.

  • MLB Betting Guide: How to Bet on Baseball in 2024

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